Algoa, Arkansas Weather Forecast Discussion

777
FXUS64 KLZK 221741
AFDLZK
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1241 PM CDT Mon Sep 22 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 145 AM CDT Mon Sep 22 2025
-Strong to severe storms with multiple rounds posing a flash flood
 threat will be possible across central to northern Arkansas
 overnight through Monday morning.
-Areas of rainy conditions continuing through mid-week, with more
 widespread rains Tuesday into Wednesday.
-Cooling temperatures to at or below normal levels going into late
 this week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 145 AM CDT Mon Sep 22 2025
Training showers and storms across portions of western Arkansas
(currently the Crawford, Sebastian, Franklin, Logan and Johnson
County area) will pose a flash flood threat as cells continue to
form along a boundary that is in a favorable area for development
due to a strengthening LLJ across eastern Oklahoma and western
Arkansas. Stronger storms will additionally pose a strong to
severe wind and small hail threat. CAM`s continue to struggle with
storm evolution/maintenance going into the morning hours, but
general thinking is showers and storms will continue to push
eastward across Arkansas through daybreak. At that point, more
uncertainty in storm evolution exists heading into the afternoon
hours, where CAM`s generally show a downward trend in activity,
but cannot rule out activity extending into portions of central to
southern Arkansas later today. Temperatures are expected to
generally cool back towards normal levels (low to mid-80s for
central Arkansas) through early week.
Heading into the middle of the week, a mid-level disturbance
moving across the Central Plains will aid in strengthening low
pressure across that general region, with a cold front moving
across Arkansas Tuesday into Wednesday. This will bring the next
round of widespread rains to the region and, depending on timing,
could result in the opportunity for strong to severe storms along
and ahead of the front. Post front, much cooler temperatures are
expected to settle into the region, where highs in the 70s and 80s
will continue through the end of the week.
Quieter weather is anticipated going through this weekend and into
next week as high pressure builds across the region, resulting in
slight warming temperatures back towards normal levels.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1231 PM CDT Mon Sep 22 2025
Current convection affecting the central third of the forecast
area will move east near 00z. Additional activity is most likely
to occur after 12z across the northwest sections of the forecast
area. Expect scattered areas of MVFR visibility due to fog along
and north of interstate 40 between 09z-14z.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     83  67  83  67 /  90  70  80  90
Camden AR         89  69  91  70 /  50  30  30  50
Harrison AR       81  65  76  64 /  60  50  90  90
Hot Springs AR    84  68  87  68 /  70  40  50  80
Little Rock   AR  85  71  87  71 /  80  50  50  80
Monticello AR     91  71  93  73 /  50  30  20  40
Mount Ida AR      83  68  87  68 /  70  30  50  90
Mountain Home AR  83  66  78  65 /  60  50  90  90
Newport AR        83  69  83  69 /  90  70  70  90
Pine Bluff AR     88  69  90  70 /  70  40  30  60
Russellville AR   84  69  86  69 /  80  50  70  90
Searcy AR         86  68  86  69 /  90  60  70  90
Stuttgart AR      86  70  87  71 /  80  50  50  70
&&
.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....55
AVIATION...55

NWS LZK Office Area Forecast Discussion