Amelia, Louisiana Weather Forecast Discussion

583
FXUS64 KLCH 191733
AFDLCH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1233 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Dry and warm conditions will continue through Saturday.
- Better rain chances return Sunday through much of next week as
  increasing moisture and a series of weak disturbances move
  across the region.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Sunday night)
Issued at 1218 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
Weak high pressure at the surface and slightly drier
air aloft will maintain warm and dry conditions across the region
today and tomorrow with highs in the low to mid 90s. As drier air
mixes down to the surface, dewpoints will fall from the mid 70s into
the upper 60s making afternoon highs a bit more tolerable. Higher
moisture will begin to push into the region Sunday allowing for a
few, diurnally driven storms to develop, but there isn`t going to be
much of a synoptic focus for activity.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday through next Thursday)
Issued at 1218 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
An upper level trof moving across the midwest and waves
pulsing through it will create a more unsettled atmosphere through
the middle of next week offering some needed rainfall across areas
that have gotten somewhat dry over the last couple of weeks. The
added cloud cover and rainfall is expected to drop afternoon highs a
couple of degrees into the upper 80s to near 90 although with
dewpoints that are going to feel more tropical than what we`ve seen
recently.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1230 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
VFR conditions will prevail through the period. SCT fair weather
cu will continue to develop across the region this afternoon
before dissipating this evening while a very weak surface
pressure gradient will keep winds light and variable through
tomorrow.
Jones
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1218 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
Winds and seas will remain tranquil below 10 knots and seas
between 1-2 feet across the Gulf today and tomorrow. Scattered
storms will continue over the outer coastal waters through the
afternoon with storms becoming less widespread tonight into Saturday.
Precipitation chances increase early next week as better atmospheric
moisture works into the region ahead of an upper level low moving
across the midwest. This will keep precipitation chances elevated
through at least Wednesday. Away from storms, winds and seas will
remain light.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1218 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
Hot and dry conditions will continue through Saturday
Minimum RH values will drop down into the 30s this afternoon and
Saturday, but calm winds will limit the fire danger. By Sunday,
moisture return will bring min RH values back into the 40-50% range
along with an increase in afternoon thunderstorms that will continue
each day through the middle of next week.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  67  94  68  93 /   0   0   0  30
LCH  71  92  72  90 /   0  10  10  30
LFT  70  92  71  90 /   0   0   0  10
BPT  72  90  73  88 /   0  10  10  40
&&
.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...66
LONG TERM....66
AVIATION...66

NWS LCH Office Area Forecast Discussion