Auburn, Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

203
FXUS64 KBMX 281100
AFDBMX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
600 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 306 AM CDT SUN SEP 28 2025
- Above normal temperatures through Wednesday with middle 80s in
   the east to low 90s in the southwest.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 1230 AM CDT SUN SEP 28 2025
Overall dry conditions are expected through Monday, with the ridge
remaining in control and high pressure at the surface.
Temperatures will continue to climb each day with mid to upper 80s
and a few low 90s in the southwest. We will see some moisture in
the east on Monday as a piece of energy tries to move into the
area from the east. Went ahead and including some isolated showers
or storms in the afternoon across the east, but these will likely
be brief and not provide any relief to current drought
conditions.
16
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 1230 AM CDT SUN SEP 28 2025
Long term continues to provide some high uncertainties in regards
to tropical mischief and to what extent our weather will be
influenced. What seems fairly apparent will be the above normal
temperatures through at least Tuesday. Summer just will not keep
from peaking its head out.
On Wednesday and Thursday we should see a little more in cloud
cover with any outer fringes of the tropical system in the
Atlantic. It does appear (at least synoptically) that we should
be an area where there will at least be some low chances of
rainfall Wednesday into Thursday, but with the drought factors
and model discrepancies it appears that the model guidance will
remain dry, at least until the short term CAMS begin to pick up
the features and we start to see the meso-scale factors
16
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 600 AM CDT SUN SEP 28 2025
VFR conditions expected through the next 24 to 30 hours. Wind
will be less than 10 knots in the afternoon from the northeast
along with some fair weather cumulus clouds.
16
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Organized rain chances remain dependent on the tropics, with rain
chances currently remaining limited in the forecast. MinRH values
will generally be split east/west, with low-40s west, and low-50s
east. However, MinRH values could climb by Thursday, as moisture
begins to stream back into the region. Otherwise, look for drought
conditions to persist, and continue for the foreseeable future.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     87  64  86  62 /   0   0  10   0
Anniston    87  65  84  64 /   0   0  20   0
Birmingham  89  67  88  65 /   0   0  10   0
Tuscaloosa  91  67  90  66 /   0   0  10   0
Calera      90  66  88  64 /   0   0  10   0
Auburn      87  67  84  66 /   0   0  20   0
Montgomery  89  67  87  65 /   0   0  10   0
Troy        87  66  85  64 /   0   0  10   0
&&
.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...16
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...16

NWS BMX Office Area Forecast Discussion