Avery, Oklahoma Weather Forecast Discussion

864
FXUS64 KOUN 261105
AFDOUN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
605 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 600 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
- Above-average temperatures will continue through the weekend
   and into next week.
- Dry with no rain chances through next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of tonight through Friday)
Issued at 1157 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
Pleasant weather today with sunny skies, light winds and warm
temperatures.
The upper ridge will move over the Plains today with a
surface high over the Southern Plains. Sinusoidal flow will persist
across the northern CONUS and Canada with a shortwave bringing weak
lee troughing along the Rockies. Southerly warm surface flow and
mostly clear skies will give way to above-average temperatures in
the 80s. However, some high clouds may move in from the west today
with increasing mid-level moisture ahead of a cut-off low over
southern Cali.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Friday night through Saturday night)
Issued at 1157 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
BLUF: Warm, above-average temperatures with no precipitation chances
through the weekend.
The weak shortwave in the sinusoidal flow to the
north will move across the Plains Saturday morning and bring a weak
front through Kansas that will remain north of Oklahoma. An upper
ridge will move across the Plains Saturday in the wake of the
shortwave. The surface high will continue to spin over northern
Arkansas with warm southerly surface flow across Oklahoma and high
temperatures in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Sunday, the upper ridge
will strengthen and build eastward over the Midwest with the cut-off
low becoming absorbed in the main flow to the north. The surface
high will begin to build northeast with east-southeast surface flow
and slightly cooler temperatures than Saturday in the mid to upper
80s.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through next Thursday)
Issued at 1157 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
Next week will feature continue warm, near to slightly above-normal
temperatures and low chances for precipitation through the week.
Early this week, a potential tropical system may make landfall on
the East Coast and keep the upper ridge over the Midwest. Thus, the
surface high will continue to bring east-southeasterly winds to
Oklahoma and closer to near-normal temperatures in the 80s. However,
by mid-week the remnant tropical upper low will continue to spin
over the southeast CONUS while an upper ridge builds over northwest
Mexico. Northwesterly flow will return aloft with weak lee troughing
and a return of warm southerly surface flow. Thus, temperatures will
gradually warm mid-week and into the end of the week with highs in
the upper 80s to lower 90s.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 600 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
Scattered clouds around 7K feet across south central Oklahoma
should clear this morning. Otherwise, a light mainly south to
southwest wind will prevail with VFR conditions.  High clouds may
increase some during the afternoon and evening.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  85  61  87  61 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         87  59  90  60 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  88  60  89  61 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           85  59  88  59 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     84  59  89  61 /   0   0   0   0
Durant OK         85  61  87  60 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&
$$
NEAR TERM...23
SHORT TERM...23
LONG TERM....23
AVIATION...06

NWS OUN Office Area Forecast Discussion