416 FXUS64 KOHX 191656 AFDOHXArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 1156 AM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1136 AM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
- Above normal temperatures continue, especially daytime highs which will be mostly upper 80s to lower 90s through the weekend.
- Isolated storms on Saturday with better chances for scattered rainfall next week with a gradual cool down.
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.SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Saturday) Issued at 1106 AM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
The upper ridging is beginning to break down with a cluster of showers and storms around the Tennessee/Arkansas border this morning. CAMS have been indicating a couple isolated showers and storms developing west of I-65 this afternoon. Some patchy fog in the valleys east of I-65 will be possible again overnight. The weekend will continue to bring above average temperatures. There will be some more isolated to scattered storms on Saturday especially in the afternoon.
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.LONG TERM... (Saturday Night through next Friday) Issued at 1106 AM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
The storm chances will slightly increase on Sunday as a short wave moves across the Mid Mississippi Valley. The more unsettled pattern will continue into next week as some small disturbances move through the zonal upper flow early in the week. A deeper trough/upper low will eject out of the Mountain West and move into our area late Wednesday or Thursday maintaining the rain chances but also finally knocking temperatures back to values close to normal.
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.AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1136 AM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
VFR conditions are expected to continue at BNA/MQY/CKV. There is a low chance (
NWS OHX Office Area Forecast Discussion