Berry, Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

832
FXUS64 KBMX 051136
AFDBMX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
636 AM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 123 AM CDT SUN OCT 5 2025
Central Alabama is at the southwestern periphery of a ridge centered
off the East Coast, with easterly surface winds and southeasterly
mid-level flow over Alabama. Winds will be somewhat gusty again
today, with gusts 15-20 mph possible during the daytime hours. Cloud
cover is likely to hang around much of the day today, which will
work to hold down high temperatures similar to yesterday. Highs
should be in the upper 70s across the east to the low 80s in most
places.
With increased moisture, partially from a weak former tropical
disturbance, moving into the region, showers and a storm or two will
be possible this afternoon. Rain chances are highest along and south
of U.S. 80, with the lowest chances north of I-20. The best rain
chances overnight will shift to the western part of Central Alabama
as activity moves generally northwestward.
Monday will be similar to Sunday in regards to high temperatures,
upper 70s to low 80s, and rain chances, 20-30% across southern and
western counties.
12
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 123 AM CDT SUN OCT 5 2025
By Tuesday and Wednesday, a weak front will work into the area,
maintaining 20-30% rain chances, mainly across northern and central
counties. Ahead of the front, high temperatures are forecast to be
in the mid to upper 80s in most areas Tuesday through Wednesday,
although increased cloud cover could work to hold down temps to the
low 80s. A slight cooldown is expected toward the end of the week,
with upper 70s to low 80s Thursday and Friday. Slight rain chances
are currently forecast for areas east of I-65 on Thursday afternoon,
subject to change.
Overall, the dry period will remain in place, as the small rain
chances throughout the forecast period will do little to halt
emerging or worsening drought conditions across different parts of
the region. With little relief in sight from a rainfall standpoint,
drought and fire danger is likely to continue, if not worsen,
through next week.
12
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 636 AM CDT SUN OCT 5 2025
Mainly VFR conditions are expected through the forecast period,
with mostly broken to overcast mid and high level clouds this
morning. AUO may drop down to MVFR category briefly this morning,
and may need to also monitor MGM for a potential amendment through
14z for brief lower ceilings. Otherwise, ceilings should be mainly
VFR through the day today. Easterly winds will remain gusty at
times, prevailing between 10 and 15 knots with gusts above 20
knots through 00z this evening. Scattered SHRA development will be
possible at MGM and AUO later this afternoon, and added PROB30s
for those sites. Overnight, winds will diminish under 10 knots
with forecast guidance indicating lower ceilings expected to move
northward through 12z Monday morning. MVFR ceilings have been
added into the planning period for all terminals as a result.
56/GDG
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
A 20-30% rain chance will be in the forecast today and Monday.
However, as coverage is expected to be isolated, no widespread
wetting rainfall is expected. Any rainfall amounts will be too light
to mitigate the worsening drought. RH values should remain above 50%
each afternoon through Tuesday. Winds today will be generally
easterly at up to 12-15 mph, gusting to 20 mph. Outdoor burning
remains highly discouraged due to ongoing drought conditions.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     82  66  81  64 /  10  20  10   0
Anniston    80  67  79  66 /  20  20  10   0
Birmingham  83  68  81  68 /  20  20  10  10
Tuscaloosa  85  71  83  69 /  30  40  20  10
Calera      82  68  82  67 /  30  30  20   0
Auburn      78  67  79  66 /  30  20  20   0
Montgomery  82  69  83  67 /  40  30  20   0
Troy        80  68  82  67 /  50  40  20   0
&&
.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...12
LONG TERM....12
AVIATION...56/GDG

NWS BMX Office Area Forecast Discussion