000 FXUS66 KPDT 242202 AFDPDTArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pendleton OR 302 PM PDT Wed Sep 24 2025
.DISCUSSION...Today through Saturday: Warm, dry conditions continue today with the high pressure system over the PacNW. For tomorrow, model guidance show a shortwave trough strengthening while approaching across our forecast area. This will give an extra push on the dry cold front, making the Columbia Basin and Cascade Gaps drier. This front will also enhance surface pressure gradients, bringing strong westerly sustained winds up to 20-25 mph with gusts at 30-35 mph across the aforementioned areas. HREF 00Z and 12Z showed a slight increase in the gusty west winds to account for the dry front. Daytime RHs remain in the teens and low 20s, though had to lower them into the low-mid teens for Columbia Basin and Cascade Gaps for tomorrow. The NBM even favored a 50-90% probability for overlapped high winds and low RHs. Given the weather pattern and these conditions potentially affecting nearby wildfires, this boosted our confidence level (60-90%) to upgrade our Fire Weather Watches for WAZ690 and ORZ691/703 into Red Flag Warnings with WAZ691/695 and ORZ701 included for tomorrow. These warnings will end tomorrow late evening as the front passes. The upper ridge arrive to the PacNW Friday before flattening Saturday. Both days will remain dry with relatively light diurnally-driven winds.
Sunday through Tuesday: Another upper-level wave will arrive Sunday, bringing slight chances (
NWS PDT Office Area Forecast Discussion