Bison, Kansas Weather Forecast Discussion

726
FXUS63 KDDC 281002
AFDDDC
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
502 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- No major storms or rain chances at least for the next week
- Temperatures should stay fairly seasonal with highs in the 80s
through the workweek
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 210 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
07z upper air analysis shows a nearly stationary cutoff low centered
in southern California with Pacific moisture streaming through the
desert southwest and southern plains which is leading to mainly some
high clouds in eastern Colorado and southwest Kansas.  The main
upper level winds are located in Canada with a large ridge over the
central and northern plains.  At the surface a stationary boundary
is located along the highway 50 corridor with an anticyclone
centered in northeast Nebraska.
Overall for today we should see fairly quiet conditions.  An upper
level shortwave ejecting from the upper low will ride from southwest
to northeast in the Colorado Rockies.  THis will form and deepen a
surface low in northeast Colorado and lead to winds increasing this
afternoon especially along and west of highway 283.  Wind gusts at
times could be 20-30 mph.  With the southerly wind and 850 mb temps
warming into the 20-23 (C) range along with more sun than clouds we
should see temperatures warm into the middle to upper 80s.  Any
threat of rain and storms should stay in eastern Colorado.
Monday we should have similar conditions.  The upper low in the
southwest evolves into a longwave trough with a northeast trajectory
into the 4 corners region by afternoon.  This should move the core
of the warmer air northward and with thicker mid level clouds highs
will be a few degrees cooler in the lower 80s.
Long range ensembles keep us in a quiet weather pattern with little
to no rain forecast through day 7 in any of the 50 member Euro or 30
member GFS.  Upper level winds stay generally zonal with an upper
high over the Great Lakes and the polar jet staying well north into
Canada keeping the ridge over the center CONUS.  With no upcoming
troughs or cold fronts we should see high temperatures stay
generally in the 80s through the next 7 days.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 501 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
VFR flight category for all terminals during the time period. Winds
will pick up in the afternoon for DDC, LBL, and GCK where we
could see gusts over 20 kts at times through 01Z.
&&
.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Tatro
AVIATION...Tatro

NWS DDC Office Area Forecast Discussion