109 FXUS63 KBIS 211807 AFDBISArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Bismarck ND 107 PM CDT Sun Sep 21 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Patchy morning fog continues to erode.
- High temperatures will be mostly in the 70s this week, with occasional readings in the low 80s, including in western ND this afternoon.
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.UPDATE... Issued at 104 PM CDT Sun Sep 21 2025
Quiet weather continues over the area, with no changes needed at this time.
UPDATE Issued at 955 AM CDT Sun Sep 21 2025
A few patches of fog this morning will continue to erode, and should all be gone within the next hour. Otherwise, a quiet and pleasant day remains on tap.
UPDATE Issued at 558 AM CDT Sun Sep 21 2025
Issued an SPS until 10 am CDT for Rolette, Pierce, and Wells counties for areas of fog with patchy dense fog. This matches up with counties to the east that are also in an SPS. Otherwise, the forecast remains on track.
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 342 AM CDT Sun Sep 21 2025
Areas of fog have developed early this morning mainly from the James River Valley (mostly along and north of I94) into the Turtle Mountains. A few obs are reporting dense fog, though overall, dense fog seems localized. For example, while the Jamestown airport has been reporting quarter mile visibility off and on, webcams along the interstate show fog that is patchy in nature and possibly shallow. Either way, will continue to monitor this morning for more widespread deterioration in visibility. Fog should dissipate by mid to late morning.
All in all, there really isn`t a whole lot to talk about for this week. Generally dry conditions are expected, while temperatures are forecast to be a bit above average overall with highs mostly in the 70s to low 80s. Going along those lines, highs this afternoon should be mostly in the 70s. However, western ND is forecast to reach the low 80s as it will be under the influence of a thermal ridge and southerly surface flow. For Monday, the pressure gradient will tighten in western ND from low pressure over southern Canada and high pressure over western Montana. This should produce breezy conditions for western parts of the state during the afternoon hours. Otherwise, expect mostly light winds through the week.
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.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/... Issued at 104 PM CDT Sun Sep 21 2025
Patchy fog will be possible late tonight into early Monday morning over much of western and central North Dakota, but confidence remains low as to exactly where the fog will form. Therefore, will refrain for now from mentioning in any individual TAF. Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail.
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.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None.
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UPDATE...JJS DISCUSSION...Telken AVIATION...JJS
NWS BIS Office Area Forecast Discussion