334 FXUS61 KPBZ 120537 AFDPBZArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 137 AM EDT Fri Sep 12 2025
.SYNOPSIS... Warm and dry conditions are expected this weekend and early next week.
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.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/... KEY MESSAGES:
- Potential for early morning river valley fog - Warm and dry conditions ---------------------------------------------------------------
Confidence remains high that quiet and dry conditions will continue today under high pressure. With radiational cooling and light winds, river valley fog may develop in isolated areas between 4am and 6am.
With diurnal heating, any lingering fog will dissolved after sunrise.
Temperatures are expected to be above 5 degrees above average this afternoon.
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.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... KEY MESSAGES:
- Quiet and dry weather --------------------------------------------------------------
Expect very little change in our synoptic pattern tonight into Saturday as a trough advances across northeast Canada and a ridge axis remains positioned to our west. Clear conditions tonight will likely prompt another round of patchy river valley fog early Saturday morning for a few hours.
Clouds are expected to increase Saturday evening from north to south with the passing of a weak shortwave trough.
Temperatures Saturday afternoon will continue to trend above average by 5 degrees.
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.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... KEY MESSAGES:
- Low rain chances Sunday; forecast uncertainty increases early next week. ------------------------------------------------------------------
The affiliated surface shortwave is most likely to pass late Saturday into Sunday, though surface dry air will continue to be present with weak forcing. This will again keep rain chances low with even the 90th percentile 24-hr QPF showing
NWS PBZ Office Area Forecast Discussion