Cherokee, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

307
FXUS64 KSJT 080545
AFDSJT
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1245 AM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
-  A few showers and isolated storms are possible this afternoon
   along the I-10 corridor, with dry conditions returning by
   Tuesday.
-  Sunny and warm conditions expected for Tuesday through Friday.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 145 PM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
The frontal boundary that moved through the region over the weekend
has settled in over the Big Bend region and south Texas and should
wash out by late tonight. Lingering rain showers that produced heavy
rain and flooding this morning along and near the I-10 corridor will
continue to dissipate this afternoon.  The high pressure center
located over the Midwest that drove this front should move eastward
through Monday. This should allow southerly flow to set up across
west central Texas overnight and start to bring warm, moist air back
into the region. Given the heavy rainfall that occurred this
morning, a ragged cloud deck should develop over our southern
counties late tonight into tomorrow morning. Some light showers are
possible in the morning for the Edwards Plateau and northwest Hill
Country. By the afternoon any cloud cover should break up, which
should allow high temperatures to climb to the upper 80s and lead to
some better instability. As a result, there are low chances for a
few thunderstorms to occur across our southern counties. However, a
building upper-level ridge should suppress chances for widespread
convection.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Sunday)
Issued at 145 PM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
High pressure builds back across the western U.S. for the middle
of next week. This will result in higher temperatures across the
region through the next several days. Highs will return to the
middle 90s area wide along with dry conditions. The GFS and ECMWF
try to develop a closed low pressure system across the western
U.S. by Saturday and Sunday. However, this remains very uncertain
this far out.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1236 AM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025
Currently seeing clear skies across the area but stratus is
expected to develop across the southern terminals towards
daybreak. A combination of MVFR and IFR ceilings will be
possible at most of the terminals except KABI. Could also
see some reduction to visibilities as some fog is possible,
with the best chance for this at KSOA where ground is
saturated due to heavy rain that fell yesterday. Stratus is
expected to lift/scatter out to VFR by afternoon, with skies
clearing by sunset. A few showers may develop across the far
southern terminals this afternoon but coverage should be sparse,
so will not mention at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     89  65  94  66 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  86  64  91  63 /  10   0   0   0
Junction    85  61  91  61 /  20   0   0   0
Brownwood   87  61  91  61 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  88  66  94  67 /  10   0   0   0
Ozona       83  64  87  63 /  30   0   0   0
Brady       84  61  88  61 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....41
AVIATION...24

NWS SJT Office Area Forecast Discussion