929 FXUS64 KLZK 111042 AAA AFDLZKArea Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Little Rock AR 542 AM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 135 AM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
-Well above normal conditions expected for next several days
-No significant rainfall expected
-Slight relief possible late in forecast?
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 135 AM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
A weak upper wave is dropping SE over NWRN sections of the state early this Thu morning...with some isolated/scattered pockets of rain noted over WRN sections of the state. Have mentioned some low end POPs for this activity over the next several hrs. This upper wave will weaken as it drops generally S/SE this morning...with the potential for precip decreasing further.
For today into the weekend...an upper ridge to the west will expand...eventually drifting east over AR this weekend. This will result in continued warming and more of the persistent dry forecast into the upcoming weekend. Highs will warm well above normal in the 90s for most locations...though some ares may approach the 100 deg mark. Lows will be mainly in the 60s...with some low 70s possible for some sites.
There may be some slight relief going into next week as hgts aloft slowly decrease. However...above normal conditions are expected to continue. Precip chances will also remain low as well.
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.AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 541 AM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
Expect mainly VFR conditions to persist through this TAF period. Winds will be generally light and variable...less than 10 kts sustained. While some mid/high level clouds may be seen this morning...these will be at VFR levels...and lesser cloud cover later today.
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 94 66 96 66 / 10 0 0 0 Camden AR 94 66 96 66 / 10 0 0 0 Harrison AR 91 66 93 66 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 94 67 96 67 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 92 69 95 68 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 95 69 97 68 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 93 66 95 66 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 94 64 96 67 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 93 67 95 66 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 94 67 96 66 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 94 67 97 69 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 92 66 95 65 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 92 68 95 67 / 0 0 0 0
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.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
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DISCUSSION...62 AVIATION...62
NWS LZK Office Area Forecast Discussion