Cluster Springs, Virginia Weather Forecast Discussion

358
FXUS61 KRNK 090522
AFDRNK
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
122 AM EDT Tue Sep 9 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
A period of tranquil early autumn weather is in store for the
central Appalachians this week as a strong high pressure system
settles over the region. Residents can expect comfortable and
mild afternoon temperatures. However, overnight and early
morning hours will be notably cooler, bringing a crisp feel to
the air.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 115 AM EDT Tuesday...
Key Message:
1) Autumn weather continues
Pattern features a 5h trough axis over the lower Ohio Valley
into the Deep South, with southerly flow aloft while at the
surface, high pressure wedges southward from New England. Aside
from some high clouds into the Piedmont today, should be sunny
with again low humidity. After a chilly start to some areas,
temps should climb into the 70s for most this afternoon, with
some 60s in the higher mountains.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
As of 1200 PM EDT Monday...
Key message:
1) Cool and dry weather continues.
Surface high pressure over the Northeast looks to remain in place
through Thursday night. This will generally keep the weather pattern
unchanged through mid week. A subtle warming trend looks likely to
start on Thursday as 850mb temperatures increase roughly 10 degrees
due to the upper level trough currently in place over the eastern
Conus starting to slightly break down mid-week. Outside of this
subtle warming trend back into the mid to upper 70s west of the Blue
Ridge and low 80s east of the Blue Ridge, no precipitation is
expected Wednesday or Thursday.  Lows each morning will generally
fall into the 40s and 50s areawide. Expect to see valley fog each
morning; however, this should dissipate shortly after sunrise each
day.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 1200 PM EDT Monday...
Key message:
1) Dry, but seasonal weather continues.
An upper level trough looks to dig south across the Northeast on
Thursday and Friday this week, which will then be replaced by an
additional surface high pressure by Friday afternoon. This will
lead to continued dry and cool weather as wedging sets up
along the Appalachians in the Mid-Atlantic states. This high
pressure looks to remain quasi-stationary over the Northeast
through the middle of the weekend, which will keep the chances
of precipitation out of the forecast through at least Sunday for
the entire region. While enough dry air through the atmospheric
column looks to remain in place since our PWATs look to remain
around 0.75 to 0.85 inches through the end of the work week and
into the weekend. This will predominantly prevent the wedge
pattern from developing a thick cloud shield over the region.
These PWATs should help maintain mostly clear skies in this
wedge pattern, with early morning fog still likely across river
valleys. Overall, expect a generally calm and quiet period of
weather through the weekend as high pressure remains the
dominating feature across the eastern Conus. Temperatures will
generally run in the low 80s east of the Blue Ridge, and mid to
upper 70s west of the Blue Ridge. Lows look to climb into the
low 50s to mid 50s late in the week, but should warm back up
into the mid 50s west of the Blue Ridge and upper 50s to low 60s
by Monday morning lows.
&&
.AVIATION /05Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 120 AM EDT Tuesday...
Expecting mostly VFR through the valid 24 hour TAF period. Some
early morning fog is possible in the mountain valleys (LWB),
but it should dissipate quickly after sunrise.
Winds will be light/calm this morning, increasing to 10 to 20
knots by mid to late morning out of ENE, with the stronger gusts
at LYH/DAN. Winds weaken again toward 23z.
.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
VFR conditions expected through the week, outside any patchy
late night/early morning fog.
&&
.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...PM/WP
NEAR TERM...WP
SHORT TERM...EB
LONG TERM...EB
AVIATION...PM/WP

NWS RNK Office Area Forecast Discussion