Columbus, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

091
FXUS64 KHGX 091712
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1212 PM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, MARINE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1212 PM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
- Drier air remains in place leading to another pleasant night
  tonight.
- Conditions become gradually hotter and more humid going into the
  end of the work week.
- Isolated to scattered showers and storms are possible along the
  coast, mainly after midweek.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1212 PM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
We certainly had a beautiful morning today...one where you go
outside and just smile! Low temperatures this morning ranged from
the upper 50s to the mid 60s across Southeast Texas, so I`d say it
qualifies for the first false fall of the season. Just cool enough
to tease us, but once onshore flow returns later this week we`ll
remember that we aren`t quite there just yet. In the meantime
though, we will all get to enjoy drier air at least through midweek
with dew points mixing out into the 50s/60s through Wednesday.
Beyond that, areas near the coast/bays will keep elevated humidity
around bringing back the warm and muggy nights that`ll make us
remember that is indeed still summertime (astronomically). Speaking
of summer, a mid to upper level ridge builds in midweek and beyond
leading to a gradual warming trend. We`ll go from high temperatures
in the upper 80s to low 90s today to the low to mid 90s midweek and
mid to upper 90s at the end of the work week. Overnight temperatures
will see a somewhat similar upward trend from the low to upper 60s
tonight to the upper 60s to mid 70s for the remainder of the
forecast period.
There are some rain chances to talk about, but the vast majority of
showers/storms this week will remain offshore. The best chances to
see inland rainfall will be on Thursday and over the weekend. First
up on Thursday, we might have enough PVA and moisture to pair with a
~25 kt LLJ along the coast that could generate isolated showers and
storms. Over the weekend, we begin to get a consistent nocturnal
strengthening of a LLJ on the southern end of an 850mb high located
to our northeast. This looks to generally range around 25 kt in the
late afternoon through the overnight hours, so we could see a few
more showers/storms develop as a result along the coast. For most
inland areas though, expect conditions to remain dry throughout the
forecast period! High temperatures are expected to the mainly in the
low to mid 90s with lows in the upper 60s to mid 70s over the
weekend and into early next week.
Bonus Space Nugget: The International Space Station will be visible
this (Tuesday) evening beginning at 7:53pm CDT. It will appear from
the south-southwestern horizon, be visible for 6 minutes, then
disappear in the east-northeastern horizon with a maximum height of
47. Sky conditions will be clear, so viewing conditions will be
great assuming you aren`t surrounded by tall buildings. There`s a
double bonus of drier air being in place, so go ahead and plan an
evening walk around then and you`ll get to wave at some
astronauts moving ~17,500 mph around 250 miles above us! How neat!
Batiste
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 635 AM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
SKC, light NE winds. Winds should be more consistent in the late
morning and afternoon when they are strongest at 5-10 kts, and
more variable overnight. GLS may see winds go ESE in the afternoon
with a bit of seabreeze influence.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1212 PM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
Light to occasionally moderate northeasterly to easterly winds will
prevail through the end of the work week before onshore flow returns
over the weekend. Wind speeds may approach the caution flag
threshold at times. The easterly fetch stretches across most of
the Gulf, so we`ll be monitoring water levels as they could
approach 3.0 ft above MLLW during high tide cycles around
Galveston Bay. Seas between 2 to 4 feet and chances for
showers/storms in the Gulf waters (and at times reaching into the
bays) will prevail throughout the forecast period.
Batiste
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)  63  93  68  94 /   0   0   0   0
Houston (IAH)  67  93  74  94 /   0   0   0  10
Galveston (GLS)  78  89  81  90 /   0   0  10  20
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Batiste
AVIATION...Luchs
MARINE...Batiste

NWS HGX Office Area Forecast Discussion