Deeth, Nevada Weather Forecast Discussion

634
FXUS65 KLKN 012006
AFDLKN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
106 PM PDT Wed Oct 1 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 103 PM PDT Wed Oct 1 2025
* Strong Fall trough to bring beneficial rainfall across Northeastern Nevada Thursday into Friday.
* Much cooler temperatures expected Friday through the beginning of next week with highs in the 50s and 60s, and overnight lows in the 20s to 30s.
* Temperature will recover back into the 60s and 70s mid week, but
  low chances for showers will accompany the warm-up
&&
.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Tuesday)
Precipitation chance will be on the rise this evening into
Thursday afternoon as a strong yet slow moving Fall upper level
trough and Closed low dig south from Vancouver Island, BC into the
western US. A 10% to 30%chance for isolated showers will be
possible tonight through Thursday afternoon for western NV.
Thursday afternoon through Saturday morning chances increase to
near 90% as scattered to numerous showers, with scattered
thunderstorms will be possible across the area. This trough will
be accompanied by the first atmospheric river of the season and
will provide very beneficial rains to Nevada with forecast 3 day
rain totals of up to 1.50 for the valleys, up to 3 for the
higher elevations including up to a few inches of snow for the
high peaks. The other main change with this system will be for
much cooler temperatures that will filtering behind a cold front
that will pass through Friday. High for the weekend and into
Monday with breezy northerly winds will struggle to reach the 60s
and overnight lows drop into upper 20s to upper 30s. As this
system departs Saturday afternoon a secondary trough will dig
south into Nevada while not as strong as the first, it will keep
conditions unsettled through Wednesday with low 10% to 25% chance
of isolated showers, however temperatures will start to recover
Tuesday and Wednesday as highs return to the mid 60s to mid 70s.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:
There is moderate confidence in the development of isolated
showers and thunderstorms across western NV Wednesday afternoon
through Thursday morning.
There is high confidence for scattered to numerous showers with
scattered thunderstorms across Nevada along with much cooler
temperatures, Thursday afternoon through Saturday morning.
There is moderate confidence in the development of secondary
troughing Tuesday and Wednesday of next week that will lead to a
low 10% to 30% of isolated showers and thunderstorms.
&&
.AVIATION...
VFR conditions forecast to be the primary flight conditions
through Thursday. There is a low 10% chance for showers or VCTS
possible for KWMC and KBAM.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
No fire weather concerns with this forecast. Minimum RH values
will be well above critical thresholds and wind gusts will remain
below thresholds. More rain is expected Thursday and Friday, with
CWR values through Friday afternoon reaching at least 50% in all
zones and sections of far northern Nevada approaching 90%.
&&
.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None. &&
$$
DISCUSSION...98
AVIATION...98
FIRE WEATHER...94

NWS LKN Office Area Forecast Discussion