681 FXUS64 KOHX 271121 AFDOHXArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 621 AM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 619 AM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
- Overall dry weekend with above-normal temperatures.
- Rain chances next week depend on the tropics.
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.SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Sunday Night) Issued at 1030 PM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
Some patchy fog is possible after midnight tonight, with the highest likelihood on the Cumberland Plateau. With overnight lows in the 50s, it will certainly feel like Fall in the morning. As the upper low keeps spinning over Middle Tennessee into the weekend, expect some slight chances of thunderstorms to linger in the east. These will be confined to the Cumberland Plateau, with a 50 - 60% chance of a sprinkle in Crossville through Saturday afternoon. Highs will top out as warm as the mid 80s.
Sunday, the upper low will be far enough to our east that rain will not be a concern and temperatures will once again top out in the mid 80s.
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.LONG TERM... (Monday through next Saturday) Issued at 1030 PM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
Starting the work week, an upper level low will be positioned to our east over the eastern seaboard and an upper level ridge will be over the central plains. This puts us in NW flow aloft, allowing for nearly daily rain chances in middle Tennessee. Concern remains on the accuracy of this forecast due to the tropical disturbance. If it gets pulled ashore on the eastern seaboard, where it comes ashore and tracks will impact our rain chances next week drastically. Until we know more certainty of the track of the system, it`s hard to say how much rain middle Tennessee could receive. Temperature wise, highs in the mid to upper 80s will continue into mid-week next week.
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.AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 619 AM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
Patchy fog over the Plateau will lift over the next few hours with VFR conditions returning. All other terminals will see VFR conditions through the TAF period. There is a low chance for a few pop up showers this afternoon over the Plateau. Northerly winds under 7 knots.
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 85 60 87 63 / 0 0 0 0 Clarksville 85 57 87 60 / 0 0 0 0 Crossville 76 55 79 57 / 30 0 0 0 Columbia 84 57 85 61 / 0 0 0 0 Cookeville 79 57 81 59 / 20 0 0 0 Jamestown 78 56 80 59 / 30 0 0 0 Lawrenceburg 81 56 83 59 / 0 0 0 0 Murfreesboro 84 58 86 61 / 0 0 0 0 Waverly 83 57 85 60 / 0 0 0 0
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.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
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SHORT TERM...Holley LONG TERM....Holley AVIATION.....Mueller
NWS OHX Office Area Forecast Discussion