Fairbanks, Louisiana Weather Forecast Discussion

289
FXUS64 KSHV 060529
AFDSHV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1229 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
...New DISCUSSION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1218 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
- A cold front is currently slowly working its way through the
   area and will bring cooler temperatures and rainfall
- Ongoing showers and thunderstorms this morning will continue
   through much of the day for portions of the area
- Much drier conditions and generally warming temperatures are
   expected to return for the start of the week
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1218 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
With the ongoing thunderstorms moving through the region,
tonight`sdiscussion will be brief, but will hopefully convey the
forecast details. Radar imagery this morning is showing
widespread convection across our northern zones that has warranted
some warnings at times. Another round of thunderstorms is
currently working through FWDs forecast area and will begin
entering our western zones shortly. Expecting this activity to
continue through the remainder of the morning and into the early
afternoon hours, although the later in the morning we get, we
should see this activity come to an end from north to south as the
cold front continues to push southward through the area. Things
should come to an end during the overnight hours Saturday into
Sunday morning across the region. Early forecast models indicated
an additional round of thunderstorms during the early morning
hours on Sunday across our western zones, however, they have
backed off some and I have trimmed back PoPs to just portions of
deep east Texas on Sunday. After this, no real PoPs in the
forecast at this time from Sunday night through the end of next
week.
Temperatures will be rather pleasant today for most of the area.
For those along and north of I-20, highs will range from the lower
70s to around 80 degrees, while those south of I-20 will range
from around 80 degrees to the upper 80s. For tonight, temperatures
will fall into the upper 50s for portions of our far northern
zones while the rest of the area will be in the lower to mid 60s.
Slightly warmer conditions for Sunday, but things will still
remain in the lower to mid 80s across the region, but we will
start to see high pressure building into the southwest CONUS
during the day. From here, temperatures will increase a few
degrees each day as we head into the middle of the week with highs
returning to the lower 90s on Wednesday thanks to the building
ridge. While the warmer temperature trend will continue into the
end of next week, it looks like high temperatures will remain in
the lower to mid 90s into the weekend. /33/
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 724 PM CDT Fri Sep 5 2025
For the 06/00Z TAF update, active weather will keep MVFR/IFR
vis/cigs in effect through most of the period. Multiple rounds of
VCTS/VCSH/-TSRA are expected: one at 05/02Z-08Z followed by
another more widespread round roughly after 05/12Z into the rest
of the period. /16/
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 724 PM CDT Fri Sep 5 2025
Spotter activation is not expected at this time, however, all
spotter reports are appreciated with any thunderstorms overnight
into Saturday. /16/
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  84  68  85  65 /  50  10  10   0
MLU  82  66  85  62 /  60  10  10   0
DEQ  78  62  83  60 /  40  10   0   0
TXK  81  65  85  62 /  50  10  10   0
ELD  79  61  85  59 /  50   0   0   0
TYR  83  67  83  64 /  50  20  20  10
GGG  84  67  84  62 /  50  10  20   0
LFK  90  70  87  66 /  30  20  30  10
&&
.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION...16

NWS SHV Office Area Forecast Discussion