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Fairfield, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

230
FXUS64 KFWD 242317
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 617 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025

...New Aviation...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Cooler conditions tonight, followed by near normal temperatures through Saturday.

- No rain is in the forecast through mid-next week along with a gradual warming trend across the region.

&&

.SHORT TERM... /Issued 1259 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025/ /Through Thursday Night/

After this morning`s rain and storms, conditions will continue to improve across our region. A few lingering showers and isolated storms may persist across the far southern counties this afternoon, but most of the activity will shift east and south of our area. The strong/severe threat will also decrease across our region. Given the persistent cloud coverage, this afternoon`s highs will stay in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Breezy north- northwest winds will continue this afternoon before they become light this evening. The cold front is expected to progress east/southeast towards Southeast TX and the MS Valley tonight into tomorrow morning as a surface high settles across portions of the southern Plains. Plenty of sunshine and nice weather is expected tomorrow with highs in the 80s and northerly winds.

Sanchez

&&

.LONG TERM... /Issued 1259 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025/ /Friday through Mid Next Week/

We`ll wrap up the week with another pleasant and seasonal day with highs in the 80s. The surface high pressure will remain in place over the region through the weekend and early next week. A gradual warming trend will also begin this weekend as winds return to the east/southeast on Saturday and continue through at least next Wednesday. Mid/upper level ridging will also keep our area precipitation free with highs bouncing back to the mid to upper 80s and perhaps some low 90s by next Wednesday. Unfortunately, extended guidance is keeping us above average for temperatures through next week with no sign of another decent cold front approaching our region.

Sanchez

&&

.AVIATION... /NEW/ /00z TAFs/

Tranquil VFR conditions will prevail at all TAF sites tonight through Thursday, as a cool, stable ridge of surface high pressure builds southward across Texas. A scattered to occasionally broken VFR layer of stratocumulus cloudiness will persist across North Texas thorugh around 06z tonight, before dissipating. Additional scattered VFR cumulus clouds may redevelop Thursday afternoon due to surface heating beneath an amplified upper level trough rotating through the Southern Plains. A northwesterly surface wind flow will persist at all TAF sites tonight and Thursday, at speeds averaging 8 to 12 knots.

Bradshaw

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 67 84 65 86 65 / 0 0 0 0 0 Waco 66 85 62 86 61 / 10 0 0 0 0 Paris 63 81 58 84 59 / 0 0 0 0 0 Denton 62 84 59 85 59 / 0 0 0 0 0 McKinney 64 83 60 85 60 / 0 0 0 0 0 Dallas 67 84 66 86 65 / 0 0 0 0 0 Terrell 64 84 61 85 61 / 0 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 67 86 64 86 63 / 5 0 0 0 0 Temple 65 86 61 87 60 / 20 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 62 84 59 88 59 / 0 0 0 0 0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&

$$

NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion

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