Your favorites:

Falkirk, North Dakota Weather Forecast Discussion

365
FXUS63 KBIS 241934
AFDBIS

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Bismarck ND 234 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Above average temperatures and dry conditions are expected through the end of the month.

&&

.DISCUSSION... Issued at 134 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025

Quiet weather continues through the forecast period. The main features weather wise are a couple of weak cold fronts that move through the forecast area. The first moves through tonight into Thursday morning. Higher winds aloft should minimize the fog potential tonight, and will not add a mention of fog overnight. A patch or two in low lying and protected areas can`t be completely ruled out though. The cold front passage will result in a wind shift to the north to northeast by daytime Thursday, with some cooler temperatures most areas, moreso in the north though. Seeing that we outperformed for highs yesterday and likely again today, we utilized a blend of NBM90 with NBM for highs Thursday. Thus a temperature range from the upper 60s to lower 70s north to the upper 70s and lower 80s south.

Another cold front moves through the forecast area Friday. This front will be associated with a stronger shortwave, but will likely remain dry over western and central ND. There will be some breezy conditions both ahead and behind the cold front, yet these will remain below advisory criteria and will not be long lived with this quick moving feature. We again utilized a 50/50 blend of NBM90 with NBM for temperatures as well as for winds.

Saturday will bring slightly cooler temperatures behind the cold front over central ND, but the west is already seeing rebounding temperatures as upper level ridging strengthens over the central portion of the U.S. through the rest of the weekend. By early next week the upper level ridge moves east of the state and we find ourselves in a southwest upper level flow. There are some differences in the strength/position of the lingering ridge and how fast energy from a western trough makes it into the local area. Temperatures should remain at or above normal through the first half of the work week, but the most uncertainty will be whether or not we see some precipitation chances early in the week or if they hold off until mid-week. Currently NBM pops are pretty much dry through Monday with some low (15 to 20%) pops Tuesday and Wednesday. Although showers are currently in the forecast, a thunderstorm can not be ruled out.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/... Issued at 1203 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025

VFR conditions are expected through the 18Z TAF period. Patchy fog may be possible over eastern portions of central ND Thursday morning but the probabilities should be even less than this morning so will not carry a mention of fog attim for KJMS. A light southerly flow today will shift northerly from west to east later tonight through Thursday morning behind a weak cold front.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...TWH AVIATION...TWH

NWS BIS Office Area Forecast Discussion

WeatherForYou.com, LLC is not responsible for any damages or problems caused by this service. Current weather conditions are obtained from the closest government operated station, a personal station contributing to the PWSweather.com network or from the Meteorological Assimilation Data Ingest System (MADIS). Some weather information is powered by XWeather. WeatherForYou.com, NOAA, AerisWeather and their data providers disclaim liability of any kind whatsoever, including, without limitation, liability for quality, performance, merchantability and fitness for a particular purpose arising out of the use or inability to use the data. Like all things, this site belongs to Jesus Christ ... He just trusts us to maintain it. If you have any questions or comments please use the suggestion box.

Copyright © 1999 - 2025, WeatherForYou.com LLC. All rights reserved.