Forbing, Louisiana Weather Forecast Discussion

867
FXUS64 KSHV 290453
AFDSHV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1153 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
...New DISCUSSION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
.KEY MESSAGES...Issued at 1125 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
- Mostly dry weather will continue throughout the next week, with
   maybe some isolated showers across our far eastern zones late
   on Thursday.
- As we go through the work week into next weekend, temperatures
   will remain above normal through the forecast period.
 &&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1153 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
Upper ridging continues to dominate across our portion of the
country but the ridge axis is forecast to shift eastward on
Tuesday as an inverted trough moves into the Middle Red River
Valley. This trough will have some forcing in association with it
but there is no moisture unfortunately to force to generate any
kind of precipitation chances. This inverted trough axis shifts
south and east towards the Lower Miss Valley on Wed with weak
upper ridging trying to nudge its way back into our region from
the Ohio Valley by Thursday.
The upper trough to our southeast tries to reestablish itself
across the northern Gulf Coast by late Thursday into Friday and
even through the upcoming weekend. Have been talking about the
possibility of this retrograding upper trough across the southeast
U.S. for the last couple of days and the reluctance of the NBM to
spit out any precipitation chances by late this work week. The
NBM has finally come around to such a solution with widely
scattered shower and thunderstorm mention for Thu only but as the
we get closer to the upcoming weekend and assuming the trough axis
continues to remain located across the Tenn Valley into the Lower
Miss Valley, would not be surprised to see additional pops in the
forecast for at least the eastern third for Friday and into the
upcoming weekend as well.
Concerning temperatures, without any frontal passages to speak of
and without any considerable rain chances, persistence is the
best forecast tool and that will result in above normal high
temperatures during the afternoon and low temperatures at night
continuing.
13
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 611 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
This TAF period will be filled with VFR conditions for all sites.
Some cirrus cloud cover is moving eastward into portions of
northeast TX and southeast OK right now. These clouds could be
enough for BKN prevailing at a few sites but should diminish to
be FEW/SCT overnight to match other sites. Fog doesn`t look like
it will be a concern tonight, but expect another summertime cu
field to develop across the region around 29/16z and persist
through the afternoon. Winds will generally be northeasterly
through the period with maximum speeds around 6 kts tomorrow
afternoon. /57/
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1153 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
Storm spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  65  91  69  89 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  64  91  66  90 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  60  87  64  85 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  63  89  66  88 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  59  88  63  86 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  63  87  68  88 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  62  89  66  88 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  62  92  68  91 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...13
AVIATION...57

NWS SHV Office Area Forecast Discussion