Fowler, Kansas Weather Forecast Discussion

641
FXUS63 KDDC 061902
AFDDDC
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
202 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Continued dry weather tonight and Sunday
- A chance of showers and storms Monday
- Rest of next week dry and warm
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 200 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
We will be weak split flow aloft tonight and into Sunday. The net
result is a dry forecast. A cloud deck will eventually erode as the
day continues with mid level clouds expected tomorrow. Lows tonight
will be a little cooler than what is typical with values in the low
to mid 50s. A nice day is expected tomorrow a mix of 70s in the east
to 80s out west.
A weak upper level wave moves across the greater region Friday. This
feature make spark off some showers and storms during the day. This
will be our last shot at moisture for a while. The rest of the extended
period looks to feature upper level ridging based off deterministic
model output as well as their ensemble counterparts. Highs will trend
warmer as the business week continues. A mix of 80s to 90s looks
likely for the FA across southwest Kansas as the week continues.
Lows look to be in the 50s and 60s for much of the week.
Some of the long term models like the ECMWF shows an upper level wave
moving across the greater region late Friday night and into Saturday
morning. This may spark of showers and storms during this period.
Confidence though just based off deterministic models is low. Some
of the ensemble counterparts as weaker and don`t have much of a wave
moving through. If this were to be the case, then a dry forecast
would continues as we finish out the extended period.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1100 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
There is a MVFR stratus deck across a portion of the terminals this
morning. This deck should erode as the day continues with VFR flight
conditions expected for the rest of the TAF pd. Some mid level clouds
cannot be ruled out for tomorrow, but further flight reductions in
cigs are not expected at this time. Winds will be light and variable
today. Stronger southerly winds of 10-15 kt are expected tomorrow
with gusts around 20 kt through the daylight hours.
&&
.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Sugden
AVIATION...Sugden

NWS DDC Office Area Forecast Discussion