Fred, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

557
FXUS64 KLCH 182316
AFDLCH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
616 PM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- High temperatures should hold steady in the low 90s through the
  forecast period.
- Moisture increases into the late weekend, however, rain chances
  likely don`t return until the start of next work week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Saturday night)
Issued at 1255 PM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025
Hot and quiet for the short term. A few showers may develop in
inland areas today, but dry air moving in will keep most rain
chances away. Expect much of the same Saturday.
Highs in the lower to mid 90s can be expected today through
Saturday. Dry air will keep moisture and max HIs in the mid to
upper 90s.
11
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1255 PM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025
Another wave is expected to move across on Sunday with moisture
and increased rain chances oozing up the coastline with its
passage.
Moving into Monday and beyond, an upper trof slowly swings in and
situates itself over the eastern US with trof axis sitting around
the FL/AL line. A series of waves will move into the western edge
of this trof increasing rain chances each day through the mid
week.
11
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 607 PM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025
Isolated showers in Acadiana is the only convection in the region
and will fade away with sunset. Otherwise we are looking at VFR
conditions with the possibility of MVFR fog in the early morning
hours.
Winds will be light for this TAF period.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1255 PM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025
Winds and seas will be low through the first part of next work
week. An upper trof sets up across the northern Gulf. A series of
waves moving through the trof will bring about periods of
disturbed weather with locally elevated winds and seas.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1255 PM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025
For the most part, conditions continue to be hot and dry. Isolated
showers will be possible with daytime heating this afternoon.
Hot and dry can be expected Saturday with little to no rain
chances anticipated. Upper wave moves across Texas into Sunday
which should bring isolated rain chances to coastal southeast
Texas in the afternoon. Daytime RH values in the 30 to 50 percent
are expected. Area KBDI values have nudged into the 600s+, making
fire weather danger an increasing concern in this dry pattern.
However, winds are also very low which is keeping the threat
rather contained at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  67  94  67  94 /   0  10   0   0
LCH  70  92  71  92 /   0  10   0  10
LFT  69  92  70  92 /   0  10   0  10
BPT  70  92  71  90 /   0  10   0  10
&&
.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....11
AVIATION...14

NWS LCH Office Area Forecast Discussion