Gadsden, Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

697
FXUS64 KBMX 051752
AFDBMX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1252 PM CDT Fri Sep 5 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 1204 PM CDT FRI SEP 5 2025
Surface analysis depicts a cold front to our northwest, extending
from North Texas through the Ohio Valley. This boundary will push
southeast through the day, moving into Central Alabama overnight
into Saturday morning. Moisture pooling across the region will
allow for showers and thunderstorms to develop along and ahead of
this boundary. Greatest chances (30-50%) tonight and Saturday
morning will be across our northern areas with the threat
extending further south through the day Saturday. Much of this
activity will be east of us by the evening hours. However, we
could see a few lingering showers through the evening as moisture
remains elevated and a trailing H85 vort max swings through. The
much drier air arrives through the day Sunday as the H85 front
passes through.
We will have one last hot day today with highs climbing into the
mid 90s for most. We knock off a handful of degrees tomorrow with
highs in the 80s. A few may not get out of the 70s across our
northwest areas...depending on how fast the front arrives.
95/Castillo
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 1204 PM CDT FRI SEP 5 2025
No significant changes needed with this long term forecast update.
Drier air in place behind tomorrow`s cold front will leave us
"cooler" through the week with highs generally in the 80s with
lows in the 60s. We could see a isolated shower or two across our
southeastern areas next week as moisture begins to return.
However, without much forcing, not expecting too much activity.
95/Castillo
Previous long-term discussion:
(Saturday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 1223 AM CDT FRI SEP 5 2025
The extended will be mostly warm and dry across Central Alabama
during the afternoons, with highs in the mid to upper 80s through
Thursday. Lows will be a refreshing upper 50s to mid 60s, depending
on location. Some rain and storms appear to be possible across the
far southeast, south of I-85, at least a couple days during the
week. However, confidence on the northward extent of this is
currently low, as most activity will be closer to the Gulf Coast.
For now, no rain chances are mentioned in the forecast for any of
Central Alabama from Sunday through Thursday.
12
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1204 PM CDT FRI SEP 5 2025
VFR conditions prevail through this afternoon and evening across
all terminals. MVFR ceilings are likely to develop across the
northern terminals Saturday morning ahead of an approaching cold
front. Showers and storms are expected to develop through the day
but coverage should be isolated initially. Introduced a mention of
VCSH to account for this. Thunder will likely need to be added
beyond 18Z with the next TAF update.
95/Castillo
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Min RH values will range from 35-45% this afternoon and 40-55%
Saturday afternoon across Central Alabama, with chances for isolated
to scattered showers across the area through this afternoon. Rain
chances increase tonight through Saturday afternoon, especially
across northern and central counties. Behind the front, min RHs
through the week will be as low as 35%, with a drier airmass
working in. While no critical thresholds will be met, the area
will be dry from Sunday through Thursday, potentially increasing
fire concerns in that aspect, especially in areas that receive
little to no rain this weekend.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     68  86  62  83 /  20  60   0   0
Anniston    70  86  64  82 /  10  40   0   0
Birmingham  72  86  64  83 /  30  50   0   0
Tuscaloosa  72  87  65  84 /  30  40   0   0
Calera      72  89  65  84 /  20  40   0   0
Auburn      72  89  68  85 /   0  20   0   0
Montgomery  72  91  68  88 /   0  20   0   0
Troy        71  91  68  88 /   0  20   0   0
&&
.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...95/Castillo
LONG TERM....95/Castillo
AVIATION...95/Castillo

NWS BMX Office Area Forecast Discussion