055 FXUS65 KBOI 122041 AFDBOIArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boise ID 241 PM MDT Fri Sep 12 2025
.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Sunday night...An upper level trough continues to weaken as it moves eastward today. Isolated showers and thunderstorms will generally be anchored over the higher terrain through this evening, due to weak steering flow aloft. Showers and thunderstorms will dissipate after sunset with the loss of daytime heating. Good radiational cooling expected tonight with patchy fog on Saturday morning. Saturday will be mostly sunny in the afternoon between systems, with temperatures near normal. A potent trough moves over the area on Sunday afternoon, with showers likely north of Burns to McCall with scattered thunderstorms areawide. Gusty outflow winds up to 45kt possible Sunday afternoon and evening with the storms and cold front. Heavy rain also a threat with the storms as precipitable water values will be in the 80-85th percentile. Some of the CAMs models are showing a quick 0.50 to 1.50 inch of precipitation with the storms. Flash flooding threat around burn scars will need to be monitored. Monday will cool to around 10 degrees below normal.
.LONG TERM...Monday through Friday...A ridge will build into the area on Tuesday with mostly sunny skies and temperatures returning to near normal Tuesday and 5 degrees above normal on Wednesday. After Wednesday forecast confidence is low as the model solutions diverge significantly.
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.AVIATION...Isolated showers and thunderstorms this afternoon, tapering off after sunset. Areas of mountain obscuration. Patchy fog overnight Winds aloft at 10kft MSL: NW 5-15kt. Surface winds: NW 5-15kt this afternoon becoming light after sunset.
KBOI...VFR. Light surface winds becoming NW 5-15kt this afternoon.
Weekend Outlook...Generally VFR. Patchy fog Saturday morning, otherwise mostly clear. Increasing high clouds Sunday, with showers and thunderstorms developing in eastern OR and southwest ID late afternoon and evening. Gusty outflow winds up to 45kt possible Sun afternoon and evening.
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.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ID...None. OR...None.
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SHORT TERM...KA LONG TERM....KA AVIATION.....KA
NWS BOI Office Area Forecast Discussion