Hays, Kansas Weather Forecast Discussion

873
FXUS63 KDDC 260844
AFDDDC
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
344 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- The vast majority of southwest Kansas will be dry for the next
  week to ten days.
- Temperatures will generally be near to above seasonal
  averages.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 318 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
Upper level ridging over the plains through Saturday will
gradually shift eastward as a weak upper low over the Desert
Southwest moves eastward and weakens. Individual weak upper
level disturbances will pass across the high plains Sunday into
Monday and again Wednesday. Instability will be marginal at
best and limited to extreme western Kansas. Therefore, any
chance for rain will be confined to the far west and even there
the chances for significant rains are less than 10%. The grand
ensemble shows chances for .1" or greater of rain in a 24 period
are close to zero through Wednesday and don`t reach 10% until
late next week. The bottom line is that significant rains are
not expected across southwestern and central Kansas for at least
the next week.
As far as temperatures are concerned, no major cold frontal
boundaries are expected over the next week. As a result, expect
temperatures to be near to a little above seasonal averages.
The means that lows will be primarily in the mid 50s to lower
60s, with highs mostly in the 80s. However, as the mid level
flow becomes more zonal late next week, weak downslope warming
could propel afternoon readings into the lower 90s on one or two
days.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1256 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
Light south winds will become southerly at 10-13 kts today as a
weak surface trough forms in the lee of the Rockies. Winds will
back to the southeast and weaken to 8-10 kts by 00z with the
loss of daytime heating. VFR conditions will persist through the
period.
&&
.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Finch
AVIATION...Finch

NWS DDC Office Area Forecast Discussion