849 FXUS63 KGRB 271116 AFDGRBArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Green Bay WI 616 AM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
Updated aviation portion for 12Z TAF issuance
.KEY MESSAGES...
- An extended period of low-impact weather is forecast through Friday. Above average temperatures are expected during this time, with the best chance of highs reaching or exceeding 80 degrees occurring today and Monday.
- Patchy fog and low clouds expected early this morning.
- Patchy frost possible in north-central Wisconsin late tonight into early Sunday morning.
&&
.DISCUSSION... Issued at 248 AM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
Patchy fog and low clouds this morning, mainly across central, east-central Wisconsin and the lakeshore, will erode with sunrise. The fog should be low impact as widespread visibility restrictions to 1/4 of a mile is not expected.
A cold front will track through the area today, only denoted by a narrow band of clouds as there will be a dearth of moisture in the atmosphere according to model and upstream soundings. Temperatures ahead of the front will rise appreciably across the area, especially south of north-central Wisconsin where highs around 80 are expected across much of central, east-central, and northeast Wisconsin.
Behind the cold front light winds and clear skies will allow for quite a bit of radiational cooling tonight. This will likely lead to patchy frost across much of north-central Wisconsin where lows in the middle 30s are anticipated into early Sunday morning.
After slightly cooler temperatures on Sunday behind the cold front, Monday could once again hit 80 degrees across much of the region with the best chances (40-70%) across central and east- central Wisconsin. Another cold front will push through the area Monday night, bringing slightly cooler temperatures to the region. Despite the cooler temperatures, it will still be above normal for this time of year. High pressure will keep the weather dry for the rest of next week.
&&
.AVIATION...for 12Z TAF Issuance Issued at 615 AM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
Patchy dense fog this morning across some of the TAF sites will burn off in a few hours after sunrise with conditions becoming VFR by 15Z. The lowest conditions are currently at KGRB with low stratus out to the west across central and north-central Wisconsin.
A cold front will track through this afternoon, with a period of SCT to BKN low clouds between 2500-4000 ft AGL possible, which may result in brief MVFR cigs. SFC WNDS will become W/NW at 10-15 KT with some gusts possible behind the frontal passage. No significant aviation hazards are expected during the afternoon. Most terminals will see SKC sky conditions return by 21Z Sat thru 03z Sun. Some fog is once again possible later tonight after 09Z.
&&
.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION.....Kurimski AVIATION.......Kurimski
NWS GRB Office Area Forecast Discussion