Joppa, Illinois Weather Forecast Discussion

654
FXUS63 KPAH 280718
AFDPAH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
218 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Dry conditions expected through next week.
- Temps will remain a few degrees above normal through early
  week then come down to around normal mid to late week.
- Mid to late week forecast is becoming clearer, with little to
  no impacts expected from a tropical disturbance off the
  Carolina coast.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 217 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
High pressure at the sfc and aloft rules over the region through at
least early week. Highs are expected to be in the mid to upper 80s
till mid week, lows in the 50s to near 60. Expect mostly clear skies
and light winds out of the north and northeast. Some patchy fog is
possible again this morning, mainly along the Mississippi river and
up to Mt. Vernon, IL.
Mid week onward is still somewhat uncertain but is becoming clearer
with time. Focus is on the tropical disturbances off the Carolina
coast. TD 9 which may become TS Imelda looks to skirt up the East
Coast to the Carolinas and then gets pulled out to sea slightly
by a passing hurricane Humberto to the east and high pressure
to the north over New England. With this outcome, ensembles
increasingly favor dry conditions for our region mid week onward
with continued high pressure dominance. Temperatures are
expected to be in the lower 80s Thursday onward (closer to
normal).
&&
.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 345 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
The strength of the grip of the surface high pressure ridge
overtop the flight terminals only increases this forecast
package, with modeled isallobaric pressure rises of 5-6 mb.
Other than FEW-SCT diurnal bases again in the 5-7K FT AGL
range, and patchy predawn fog possibly offering temporary
conditional restrictions to vsbys, it`ll be a tranquil and
restriction-free forecast.
&&
.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...HICKFORD
AVIATION...

NWS PAH Office Area Forecast Discussion