Lehman Caves, Nevada Weather Forecast Discussion

759
FXUS65 KLKN 272113
AFDLKN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
213 PM PDT Sat Sep 27 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1205 PM PDT Sat Sep 27 2025
* Expect an increase in clouds and increasing chances for light
  rain showers and isolated thunderstorms for this afternoon and
  evening.
* Another round of showers are expected to start early Sunday in
  central Nevada.
* Stronger and wetter weather system will move into northern and
  central Nevada Monday, lasting through Tuesday.
* Unsettled weather may continue after mid-week but confidence
  remains low in the forecast at this time.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Friday)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Skies remain mostly sunny across the
north but increasing clouds can be seen moving west in
central Nevada. With the increasing moisture, cells are beginning
to develop in White Pine, southern Lander/Eureka, and northern
Nye counties with a few lightning observed. Look for light
showers to develop across the central during the later afternoon
and evening hours. Overnight lows will be in the 40s and 50s.
Skies will remain partly to mostly cloudy in the morning. All
models are showing a closed low spinning over southern California
but this feature will open up on Sunday and get caught up in the
flow. It is forecast to move to the northeast with showers and
thunderstorms (thirty to fifty percent) developing across central
Nevada with isolated to scattered (ten to thirty percent) showers
and isolated thunderstorms in the north. Total precipitation
amounts will be less than a tenth of an inch, though any
convective showers could produce more locally. Highs will be in
the 60s and 70s in the central and 70s to 80s in the north. Winds
will be light with some gusts to 20 mph in portions of northwest
Humboldt county. Isolated showers will continue in the early
evening with lows in the 40s.
On Monday through Tuesday night, upper level low pressure will
move in from the eastern Pacific and pass through the forecast
area. This will bring another round of showers (thirty to seventy
percent) and isolated thunderstorms (ten to twenty percent)
across much of the area. This is expected to be a wetter system
with a two day total (Monday and Tuesday) of a third to an inch
across much of northern Nevada with lower amounts (a tenth to a
third of an inch). Highs on Monday will be in the 60s and 70s with
cooler weather expected Tuesday with readings in the 60s due to
rain showers and clouds. Winds will be breezy both days with gusts
of 20 to 30 mph out of the southwest. Overnight lows will be in
the 30s and 40s.
Models are showing an upper low pressure system pushing into the
Pacific Northwest states Wednesday through Friday. Additional
light showers are expected with best chances in the northern
sections of the forecast area each afternoon. Highs will be in the
70s, with cooler readings in the 60s for Friday. Overnight lows
will be in the 40s, but will reach the 30s Thursday and Friday
mornings.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Look for moderate to high
confidence for showers and thunderstorms Sunday through roughly
Tuesday. No changes have been made to the NBM for this package.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR conditions expected through the next 24 hours.
Winds will be breezy tomorrow afternoon in the central and east-
central TAF sites of KTPH and KELY with lighter winds over the
northern sites. Isolated -SHRA/-TSRA expected across central
Nevada through early tomorrow morning, but coverage will increase
north and west.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...No fire weather concerns are noted at this time.
Isolated to scattered showers with isolated thunderstorms will
continue this afternoon and early evening. More active and wet
weather expected late Sunday and Monday through late Tuesday. This
will allow for additional shower and thunderstorm development
during this time with highs in the 70s and 80s Sunday, cooling
into the 60s by Tuesday. Winds will be breezy Monday afternoon
with gusts to 25 to 30 mph but minimum relative humidity values
will remain at or above thirty five percent.
&&
.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...86
FIRE WEATHER...86

NWS LKN Office Area Forecast Discussion