Leighton, Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

511
FXUS64 KHUN 251857
AFDHUN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
157 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
...New NEAR TERM...
.NEAR TERM...
(Tonight)
Issued at 157 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
Cloud cover has finally scattered, finally allowing for some
sunshine. This will aid in the development of showers and
thunderstorms ahead of the cold front that is slowly sliding eastward
today. KGWX shows convection developing and merging into a line in
north and central MS at this time just ahead of the front.
Instability and low level shear remain weak but there is still a
lot of moisture in the atmosphere. Storms will produce moderate to
heavy rainfall that can reduce visibility and cause flooding
concerns near locations that have received a lot of rainfall in
the past few days. If you see water over the roadway, turn around,
don`t drown.
Convection will mainly decrease with sunset, but a few showers may
linger into the night as the cold front finishes pushing through.
Despite cloud cover, with ceilings that could be ~1kft or lower at
times late tonight, lows should be able to get into the lower 60s
tonight.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Friday through Sunday)
Issued at 941 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
The air behind the slow moving cold front will only be slightly
drier, leaving a good amount of moisture in place. The front will
be out of the forecast area tomorrow but close enough to keep a
low chance (20-30%) of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon
forecast, with the greatest coverage in NE AL. With lingering
cloud cover and PoP chances, highs will be a few degrees cooler in
the upper 70s to lower 80s.
This weekend, a better amount of dry air will push into the TN
Valley, especially for NW AL over to our central counties. Won`t
rule out a shower/storm or two for NE AL Saturday afternoon,
otherwise conditions will be dry and cloud cover will lessen through
Sunday. Daytime highs will be in the upper 70s to lower 80s once
again on Saturday, and with the increase in sunshine and high
pressure, it will be warmer, in the low to mid 80s on Sunday.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 915 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
Late this weekend into early next week, there is model agreement
that an upper level ridge is forecast to creep into the Tennessee
Valley from the west. Sfc high pressure will subsequently take over
the region, allowing mostly dry conditions through the long term
period. Highs during this time are forecast to be in the low to mid
80s with overnight lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. One thing to
watch will be how the tropics unfold to our east by mid week and if
we get any additional moisture and resultant rainfall. Overall,
however, should be a benign forecast with very low chances for
rainfall each day.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1240 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
Included a VCTS for both terminals as showers and thunderstorms
will pop up throughout this afternoon. CIGs are starting to
scatter per Visible satellite and obs, however MVFR BKN/OVC skies
will be predominant today and most of tonight. If a terminal is
directly impacted, erratic wind gusts and heavy rainfall that
reduces visibility are possible. Low CIGS will move in late
tonight ~05-06Z, creating mainly MVFR CIGS, however models are
trending that there could values that reach IFR, especially for
KHSV. Confidence too low to include that in this TAF package, but
trends will be monitored. Will see those CIGS improve after
sunrise when VFR conditions are expected to return.
&&
.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
TN...None.
&&
$$
NEAR TERM...JMS
SHORT TERM....JMS
LONG TERM....HC
AVIATION...JMS

NWS HUN Office Area Forecast Discussion