Lowake, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

218
FXUS64 KSJT 171104
AFDSJT
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
604 AM CDT Wed Sep 17 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Warm, but near-normal temperatures continue today
- Low chances for showers and thunderstorms Thursday night through
  the weekend with the potential for higher chances early next
  week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1256 AM CDT Wed Sep 17 2025
Early this morning surface high pressure was located over Texas
resulting in clear to partly cloudy skies. Temperatures were in the
upper 60s to mid 70s with generally light southeast winds.
Meanwhile, an upper-level ridge was also in place across the region.
Another day of fair weather is expected with southeasterly winds
between 5-10 MPH.  No significant change in airmass was noted from
yesterday so high temperatures should be in the upper 80s to low 90s
again. As a trough over the northern High Plains drifts southward
tonight the ridge will start to break down.  Despite some resulting
increase in cloud cover, low temperatures look to be in the upper
60s to around 70 again.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 1221 AM CDT Wed Sep 17 2025
Temperatures will remain warm from Thursday into the weekend.
Highs will continue in the low 90s on Thursday and Friday, with
highs creeping into the mid 90s over the weekend. Will continue to
advertise a low end (20-30%) chance of PoPs each afternoon
through Sunday although most areas look to remain dry. Models
continue to indicate a possible pattern change by Monday and
Tuesday of next week. Upper level ridging shifts off to the west
while an upper level trough deepens over the southern Plains.
This could result in increasing rain chances if this scenario
plays out. Will maintain 30-40% PoPs for now across most of the
area and hope these rain chances ultimately come to fruition.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 604 AM CDT Wed Sep 17 2025
VFR conditions with south to southeasterly winds around 5KT for
the next 24 hours. Winds could increase to around 10KT with gusts
over 15 between about 15-23Z today.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     92  69  93  70 /   0   0  10  10
San Angelo  90  66  91  67 /   0   0  10  10
Junction    91  64  91  65 /   0   0  10   0
Brownwood   92  66  92  68 /   0   0   0  10
Sweetwater  91  68  92  68 /   0   0  10  20
Ozona       89  66  89  66 /   0   0  10  10
Brady       89  67  90  68 /   0   0  10   0
&&
.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...SK
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...SK

NWS SJT Office Area Forecast Discussion