Magnolia Beach, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

423
FXUS64 KCRP 081109
AFDCRP
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
609 AM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 606 AM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025
- One more wet day Monday before drier air moves into South Texas
- Next chance for showers will be next weekend
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1230 AM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025
With the recent cold front currently stalled over the southern half
of South Texas, drier air will slowly creep into South Texas.
Current water vapor satellite imagery shows a drier airmass over the
Hill Country slowing inching its way into the region. One more wet
day is expected tomorrow with medium (50-70%) chances for rain
across the southern half of South Texas from Webb through Duval, Jim
Wells to Nueces and north along the Coastal Bend where the front is
currently stalled. Across the northern half where direr air will
filter into we`ll see low (15-30%) chances for rain. A mid to upper
level high pressure will develop Tuesday and build into the Upper
Mid-West late this workweek into next weekend. Our next chance for
rain will be late this workweek into next weekend as a weak mid
level disturbance rides the eastern periphery of the ridge and moves
into South Texas. With the ridge building into the region and drier
air moving into South Texas this week, seasonal temperatures are
expected Monday into next weekend.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 606 AM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025
Surface observations across Texas show the most of the low CIGs
across the northern Brush Country starting to thin out as drier
air funnels into the region (SKC conditions in the Victoria
Crossroads as fog breaks up with wind increasing in those areas).
Showers and storms are primarily over the western Gulf waters
struggling to make it too far inland (battling drier air). For
this reason, PROB30 groups were selected for KALI/KCRP/KLRD
through this afternoon, with clearing skies tonight. Mostly VFR
conditions for this TAF cycle and down to MVFR in a stray
showers/storm.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1230 AM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025
A fresh breeze (BF 5) Monday will weaken to gentle to moderate (BF 3-
4) levels Tuesday and persist through the end of the week. Elevated
rain chances Monday and Tuesday will decrease Wednesday before
increasing back to medium levels Thursday and Friday across the Gulf
waters.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    89  74  91  72 /  50  10  20  10
Victoria          92  66  94  65 /  10   0   0   0
Laredo            93  73  96  71 /  60  10  20   0
Alice             91  70  94  67 /  50  10  20   0
Rockport          90  75  91  75 /  40  10  10  10
Cotulla           92  72  95  70 /  20   0   0   0
Kingsville        90  71  91  69 /  60  20  30  10
Navy Corpus       87  79  88  78 /  50  30  30  10
&&
.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...JCP/84
AVIATION...AE/82

NWS crp Office Area Forecast Discussion