Middleton, Tennessee Weather Forecast Discussion

852
FXUS64 KMEG 020432
AFDMEG
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1132 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1122 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
- Temperatures will remain above normal with highs in the upper
  80s to near 90 degrees through Thursday and the mid to upper 80s
  Friday into early next week.
- A chance for showers will return to the region early next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
(Tonight through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1108 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
Dry weather with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s will continue
on Thursday as surface high pressure prevails. Temperatures this
weekend will decrease a degree or two as the center of high
pressure weakens and meanders east. Luckily, dewpoints in the 50s
will help curb overall humidity levels in the Mid-South through
Sunday.
The main thing to watch this forecast period will be the potential
development of a low pressure system near the Gulf this weekend.
Ensembles continue to vary in precise timing and location of this
system, but overall consensus is that enough moisture will funnel
into the Mid-South by Monday to support elevated rainfall chances.
Daily chances of rain will exist through the middle of next week,
though exact totals are hard to pinpoint. Long term forecasts
place a cold front approaching the Mid-South by Thursday, which
would provide another chance for measurable rainfall in the Mid-
South.
ANS
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1132 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
Latest HRRR guidance suggests isolated patches of fog will be
possible near the TN River overnight. For the TAF sites VFR will
prevail, with light easterly winds veering to the southeast toward
daybreak. Strong upper level ridging and drier air at the surface
should limit cumulus coverage Thursday afternoon.
PWB
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1108 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
Fire weather concerns will remain low over the next several days
as MinRH remains above 40% and 20ft winds remain less than 10 mph.
Persistent dry conditions will degrade fuel moisture, causing
fire danger to rise through early next week.
&&
.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&
$$
PUBLIC FORECAST...ANS
AVIATION...PWB

NWS MEG Office Area Forecast Discussion