856 FXUS64 KJAN 290104 AAA AFDJANArea Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Jackson MS 804 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
...New MESOSCALE UPDATE, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Mostly dry weather with seasonably warm days and mild nights can be expected through the next week.
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.MESOSCALE UPDATE... Issued at 757 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
Near-term weather elements were updated through the daytime tomorrow, but no significant adjustments were needed. Temps tonight should fall to mainly lower and mid 60s across the forecast area with light northeast winds continuing. /NF/
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 1228 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
For the most part, high pressure anchored over the eastern CONUS will be in control of our weather through the upcoming work week, and no significant frontal passages are expected. The upper level trough that is helping to keep what is currently Tropical Storm Imelda off the southeast coast could bring some very light convective rainfall later this week (mainly Wed/Thu afternoons), but rain chances overall will remain low. Confidence is high that we will see drier and slightly cooler air advect into our region on the left side of "Imelda" by late in the week and next weekend. Given the long duration stretch of below normal rainfall observed, we will be monitoring for any increased fire weather threats in this dry weather pattern. As of now, the RH/Wind forecast elements look like they should remain below critical thresholds. /EC/
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.AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 757 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
VFR conditions with northeast winds generally less than 10 kts should prevail through the period. /NF/
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Jackson 67 90 67 89 / 0 0 0 0 Meridian 65 90 65 89 / 0 0 0 0 Vicksburg 64 90 66 89 / 0 0 0 0 Hattiesburg 67 93 68 91 / 0 0 0 0 Natchez 65 90 65 89 / 0 0 0 0 Greenville 62 90 64 89 / 0 0 0 0 Greenwood 64 90 65 90 / 0 0 0 0
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.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MS...None. LA...None. AR...None. &&
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NF/EC
NWS JAN Office Area Forecast Discussion