North Carrollton, Mississippi Weather Forecast Discussion

982
FXUS64 KJAN 030530
AFDJAN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1230 AM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Mostly dry weather with warm days and cool nights expected into
   this weekend.
- Rain chances return early next week with increasing moisture
   and a disturbance in our region.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1057 PM CDT Thu Oct 2 2025
Broad mid-level ridging over the central part of the country has
easterly flow through the lower and mid levels. A little higher
around 500mb, a trapped low pressure circulation along the Gulf
Coast has been causing isolated shower and storm activity in the
region. Expect a wave of drier air to move through tonight/tomorrow.
An arc of 0.8 PWAT air will wrap around the upper-level disturbance
across the northern half of our area tomorrow.
This weekend and into early next week, the center of the upper-
level ridge will translate northeastward to the Mid-Atlantic Coast
as troughing over the West Coast deepens. The resulting negative PNA
pattern over the CONUS will result in southwesterly flow aloft and
squeeze to easterly flow at the Gulf Coast. Expect deepening
moisture (PWATs near 2.0 inches) and a disturbance lifting into our
region to bring rain chances Sunday into the new work week. A cold
front pushing south into the region by late week will then serve to
focus additional shower or thunderstorm chances with more active
flow aloft. /NF/
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1229 AM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025
VFR persists with few clouds and prevailing easterly winds around
8kts.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       85  65  86  67 /   0   0   0   0
Meridian      84  62  86  66 /   0   0   0   0
Vicksburg     87  64  88  66 /   0   0   0   0
Hattiesburg   87  66  88  69 /   0   0   0  10
Natchez       86  64  88  66 /   0   0   0   0
Greenville    86  62  87  63 /   0   0   0   0
Greenwood     86  62  88  65 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&
$$
NF/NF/SAS20

NWS JAN Office Area Forecast Discussion