Orange Grove, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

568
FXUS64 KCRP 200531
AFDCRP
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1231 AM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1228 AM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025
- Low to medium (20-60%) chance of showers and thunderstorms
  through next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1228 AM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025
Low to medium (20-40%) chances for rain and thunderstorms will
continue today, generally along the sea breeze. Moisture will
increase late Sunday into early next week, which will lead to a
slight increase in precipitation chances by Sunday. By the middle of
the week, rain chances will further increase to 30-60% as a
shortwave trough and associated boundary approach South Texas. This
is still a bit questionable as the southern extent and the timing of
these features are still uncertain so we do expect that updates will
be needed.
Temperatures will continue to be warm, with highs over the Brush
Country nearing 100 degrees. As previously mentioned, any rain or
cloud coverage could help keep temperatures slightly cooler, but
will continue with the NBM temperatures until model agreement is
better.
Tidal levels have remained below advisory criteria for the past few
days but, with the approach of the new moon, will need to be mindful
this afternoon as tides are expected to reach nearly 1.7 ft MSL.
This should not create significant impacts, but we will continue to
monitor in case tides rise higher than anticipated.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1228 AM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025
Other than brief MVFR visibilities across VCT and ALI between 09-
13Z, VFR conditions will prevail across S TX through the TAF period.
Could see mid level clouds move across the area Saturday afternoon,
but is expected to be above 3kft. Light and variable winds overnight
will become increase from the southeast and east 10-15KT through
Saturday afternoon. Occasional gusts around 20KT will be possible
for ALI and CRP.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1228 AM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025
A gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) onshore flow will persist through the
weekend and into next week. Low to medium (20-60%) rain chances will
continue daily into next week.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    91  75  91  76 /  20  10  40  10
Victoria          94  71  93  72 /  10   0  50   0
Laredo            97  76  99  76 /  20  10   0   0
Alice             95  72  94  73 /  20   0  40   0
Rockport          91  78  90  78 /  20  10  40  20
Cotulla           97  74  97  75 /  10  10   0   0
Kingsville        92  73  92  74 /  30  10  40  10
Navy Corpus       89  80  88  81 /  20  20  40  30
&&
.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...LS/77
AVIATION...TE/81

NWS CRP Office Area Forecast Discussion