Patterson, Missouri Weather Forecast Discussion

856
FXUS63 KPAH 282340
AFDPAH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
640 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Dry weather conditions expected through the week.
- Temperatures will remain a few degrees above normal through
  early week then come down to around normal mid to late week.
- No impacts are expected from the tropical activity off the
  Carolina coast.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 640 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
Updated aviation section for 00z TAF package.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 138 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
Confidence in the forecast period continues to increase,
specifically regarding later this week. Currently, deep layer
ridging remains in control of the regional weather. A surface
high is placed across the Great Lakes, providing a light
northeasterly flow. Skies are clear, with temperatures currently
running into the low to mid 80s.
The synoptic pattern remains generally the same through the
duration of this week. An upper level ridge will remain parked
over the Quad State, with a surface high expanding north of the
Great Lakes. Persistent northeasterly flow is expected to remain
in place, providing dry conditions. Confidence continues to
increase that the region will be void of any impacts from
tropical activity currently across the Carolina coast. Both TD
9, and hurricane Humberto are expected to recurve out to sea as
the surface high sinks into New England. Temperatures will
remain above normal, with highs largely in the 80s into much of
next week. The warmest day of the 7 day period will be Monday as
highs approach the upper 80s.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 640 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
VFR conditions expected through the TAF period with clear skies
and fog potential very low. Light to calm winds this evening
and overnight will become northeast/east around 5kts after 14z.
&&
.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...AD
AVIATION...RST

NWS PAH Office Area Forecast Discussion