Pine Run, South Dakota Weather Forecast Discussion

349
FXUS63 KUNR 292010
AFDUNR
Area Forecast Discussion For Western SD and Northeastern WY
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
210 PM MDT Mon Sep 29 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Isolated showers/thunderstorms today, primarily across the northern
  Black Hills
- Above average temperatures with elevated fire weather conditions
  through Thursday
- Gusty southerly winds Tuesday
&&
.DISCUSSION...(This Evening Through Monday)
Issued at 205 PM MDT Mon Sep 29 2025
Upper level analysis shows a broad upper trough stretching across the
Rockies into western TX. Water vapor highlights area of moisture
influx with southwesterly flow aloft with a more pronounced upper
trough along the Pacific coast. A surface trough axis extends
from western SD through eastern CO into the southern High Plains.
Increased cloud cover and isolated showers and thunderstorms will
persist this afternoon, particularly across the higher elevation
of the Black Hills, as an embedded shortwave pushes through the
Northern Plains. Effective bulk shear is weak (

NWS UNR Office Area Forecast Discussion