505 FXUS63 KFGF 282105 AFDFGFArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 405 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Near critical fire weather is expected across northwest and west central Minnesota through late this afternoon.
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 405 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
...Synopsis...
Ridging continues across the Northern Plains through the middle of next week, along with above average temperatures. A weak shortwave could bring slight chances for precipitation Tuesday into Wednesday, mainly across far northwest Minnesota along the International Border. A rather deep upper low is expected to form just off the Pacific Northwest coast late Tuesday into Wednesday, then move east into the Northern US Rockies and the Plains by the end of the week. This could bring several chances for precipitation as H7 waves traverse the region ahead of the main trough axis.
...Near Critical Fire Weather This Afternoon...
Another afternoon of above average temperatures, low dewpoints and a well mixed boundary layer will combine to create near critical fire weather across portions of northwest and west central MN. Looking upstream in SD/central ND, dewpoints are higher, and these values will continue moving into the area this afternoon and evening. Winds today have been a bit higher than yesterday, with gusts upwards of 20 mph across northwest and west central Minnesota. Heading into Monday, RH is expected to be higher, with minimums in the 40 to 50 percent range during the afternoon.
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.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/... Issued at 1225 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
VFR conditions prevail through the period at all TAF sites. South to southwest winds are expected to continue this afternoon, with KDVL seeing a slow shift to the east to northeast overnight. A few wind gusts to near 20 knots are possible this afternoon at KBJI and KTVF before diminishing this evening.
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.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ND...None. MN...None.
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DISCUSSION...Lynch AVIATION...Lynch
NWS FGF Office Area Forecast Discussion