Planeview, Kansas Weather Forecast Discussion

292
FXUS63 KICT 160802
AFDICT
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
302 AM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- A few isolated showers/thunderstorms today. Most locations
  will remain dry. Severe weather not expected.
- Off-and-on scattered to numerous showers/thunderstorms late
  tonight through Thursday night. Isolated severe weather
  possible, along with locally heavy rainfall and isolated
  flooding concerns.
- Off-and-on active pattern could linger from this weekend into
  at least early next week, but there remains quite a bit of
  uncertainty.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 253 AM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025
PRECIPITATION:
TODAY...Similar to yesterday, will likely see a few isolated
showers/thunderstorms across portions of central and eastern Kansas
anytime between about 11 AM and 9 PM, as a moist/unstable and
uncapped airmass remains in place across the region, and large scale
ascent persists ahead of a deep upper trough approaching from the
west-northwest. Most locations will remain dry. Widespread severe
weather is unlikely given rather weak deep layer shear, although
moderate to strong instability may support isolated instances of
very small hail, gusty winds, and heavy rainfall.
LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...The deep upper trough
approaching from the west along with an associated slow-moving
frontal zone moving through from the northwest will support off-and-
on scattered to numerous showers/thunderstorms across the region
late tonight through Thursday night. While a handful of marginally
severe thunderstorms are possible throughout this time period
(especially during the afternoon-evening hours), most activity
should remain below severe levels given a limited combination of
buoyancy and deep layer effective shear. Locally heavy rainfall
is likely, which could support isolated flooding concerns.
Model consensus supports widespread rainfall amounts of 0.25 to
0.50 inches through Thursday night, with localized 1-2+ inch
amounts possible.
FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...While there remains some
uncertainty, deterministic consensus supports a continued off-and-on
active pattern Friday through at least early next week, as various
shortwaves progress over the region within progressive west-
northwest flow aloft. Stay tuned as we refine forecast details in
the coming days.
TEMPERATURES:
Seasonably warm temperatures look to persist today, with forecast
highs in the upper 80s to low 90s. From Wednesday through Friday,
increased precipitation chances and decreasing atmospheric thickness
will support a slight cool down, with many locations in the 70s to
low 80s for daytime highs. By the weekend, temperatures should get
back to seasonal normals in the 80s, as both thickness and southerly
flow increase across Mid-America.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1230 AM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025
VFR conditions through the forecast period. Southerly winds will
increase slightly across the area after 15-18Z. Rain and storm
chances begin to increase at the very end of the period for
central Kansas sites, but it`s too early to pinpoint timing and
impacts.
&&
.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...ADK
AVIATION...AMD

NWS ICT Office Area Forecast Discussion