063 FXUS62 KCAE 081447 AFDCAEArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Columbia SC 1047 AM EDT Mon Sep 8 2025
.SYNOPSIS... High pressure building in from the north will bring cooler and drier weather to the area for the first half of the week. Mainly dry conditions will continue for the remainder of the week, with temperatures gradually warming as the week goes on.
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.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Key Message(s):
- Cooler and drier air slowly moving into the area. - Breezy at times during the afternoon.
High pressure continues to build into the area today with persistent northeasterly flow. Winds are already gusting above 20 mph at some locations and the strongest winds are expected late this morning into early afternoon before the pressure gradient relaxes a bit and winds also weaken a bit by mid afternoon. WV imagery shows significant dry air across the region and HRRR analysis sounding confirms the dry air aloft. However, there is a layer of moisture around 850mb that is resulting in some lingering scattered clouds across the region. Temperatures will be much cooler today with highs expected in the upper 70s to lower 80s. No chances of rain expected with the frontal along the coast and dry advection into the region.
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.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... Key message(s):
- Tuesday will likely be the coolest day of the week. Low threat for a passing shower or two along and east of I-95.
- Wednesday is slightly warmer but temperatures remain near to slightly below seasonal values.
Weak upper troughing will be in place to our west during the short term. At the surface, strong high pressure centered over New England will maintain northeasterly flow while an inverted trough keeps a moisture gradient across the coastal plain. A passing shower or two cannot be ruled out on Tuesday into Tuesday night, mainly along and east of I-95, when the PWAT gradient tries to push inland across the eastern Midlands. A strengthening wedge pattern pushes a reinforcing shot of drier air into the region on Wednesday with mostly sunny skies and slightly warmer, albeit near to slightly below normal, daytime temperatures.
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.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... Key message(s):
- Continued dry with near normal temperatures through the period.
An upper trough remains positioned over the east coast through the long term. Meanwhile, surface high pressure maintains a northeasterly flow and dry weather with rain not expected through the weekend. Temperatures will be near seasonal values Thursday and Friday and may be slightly cooler during the weekend.
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.AVIATION /15Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... VFR conditions will rule into tonight as any ceilings should be well above concern levels. Winds will be a bit gusty at times from the northeast, diminishing late today.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...A cooler and drier air mass will settle over the region early this week behind the front. Mainly VFR conditions expected.
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.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... SC...None. GA...None.
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NWS CAE Office Area Forecast Discussion