Providence Forge, Virginia Weather Forecast Discussion

556
FXUS61 KAKQ 150742
AFDAKQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
342 AM EDT Mon Sep 15 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure builds into New England today, remaining in place
through mid-week. A coastal low approaches the region today,
lingering through mid-week. This low will bring widespread rain,
cooler temperatures, and breezy conditions across the area from
later today through Wednesday. A brief warmup is expected by late
week before a return to slightly below normal temperatures by early
next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 330 AM EDT Monday...
Key Messages:
- Wind Advisories have been issued along the coast from Norfolk/Portsmouth
  south to eastern Currituck from this afternoon into early
  Tuesday morning.
- Rain pushes inland beginning from late this morning through tonight.
  Locally heavy rainfall is possible across SE VA/NE NC
  tonight.
Latest analysis depicted a ~1008mb low pressure off the Carolina
coast and a 1027mb high centered over SE Canada, ridging south into
the local area. Aloft, there was a closed upper level low over the
Southeast coast with a tall/skinny ridge extending from the MS
Valley into the Great Lakes and Canada. Temps as of 150 AM ranged
from the upper 50s to lower 60s inland with lower 70s along the
coast. Skies were mostly clear except for some high clouds building
into SE VA/NE NC. Clouds are expected to gradually spread north this
morning. However, given the clearing, some patchy fog is possible
early this morning across inland areas. Morning lows in the upper
50s to around 60F inland (locally mid 50s) and upper 60s to around
70F along the coast are expected. Highs today in the 70s are
expected with upper 70s north and mid (locally lower) 70s south.
The coastal low offshore slowly moves NW today, pushing rain bands
onshore beginning late this morning and spreading inland through the
day. PoPs increase to 50-80% across far SE VA/NE NC this afternoon,
increasing to 60-90% across most of the area (30-50% across far
northern areas) tonight. Moderate to heavy rain is expected tonight
as the fgen on the north side of the low intensifies. As such,
expect rainfall totals through tonight of generally 1-2" across NE
NC, 0.5-1" across SE VA, and 078-085-521-522.
     Coastal Flood Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 11 PM EDT
     Tuesday for VAZ083-084-086-518-520-523.
     Coastal Flood Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 2 PM EDT
     Tuesday for VAZ089-090-093-096-524-525.
     Coastal Flood Watch from Tuesday afternoon through late
     Tuesday night for VAZ089-090-093-096-524-525.
     Coastal Flood Advisory from noon today to 1 PM EDT Tuesday for
     VAZ095-097-098.
     Wind Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 10 AM EDT Tuesday for
     VAZ095-098.
     Coastal Flood Watch from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday
     evening for VAZ095-097-098.
     High Surf Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EDT Tuesday
     for VAZ099-100.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Wednesday for ANZ630.
     Small Craft Advisory until midnight EDT tonight for ANZ631.
     Gale Warning from midnight tonight to 7 PM EDT Tuesday for
     ANZ631-650-652.
     Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for ANZ632-
     634.
     Gale Warning from 6 PM this evening to 4 PM EDT Tuesday for
     ANZ632-634-638.
     Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT this morning for ANZ633-
     658.
     Gale Warning from 10 AM this morning to 10 AM EDT Tuesday for
     ANZ633-658.
     Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT Tuesday for ANZ635>637.
     Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for ANZ638.
     Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM this morning to midnight EDT
     tonight for ANZ650-652.
     Small Craft Advisory until noon EDT today for ANZ654-656.
     Gale Warning from noon today to 4 PM EDT Tuesday for ANZ654-
     656.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...RMM
NEAR TERM...RMM
SHORT TERM...RMM
LONG TERM...RMM
AVIATION...RMM
MARINE...ERI
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
CLIMATE...

NWS AKQ Office Area Forecast Discussion