540 FXUS63 KDDC 211030 AFDDDCArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Dodge City KS 530 AM CDT Sun Sep 21 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Accumulating rainfall possible from Monday night through Wednesday as an upper level trough/low crosses the Central Plains. Moderate confidence exists that a few of these storms may also be severe but at this time exact location of where these stronger storms will occur is low.
- A warm start (highs in the 80s) to the work week will give way to cooler temperatures (highs in the 70s) Tuesday and beyond.
- A dry and quiet weather stretch is forecast the latter half of this week.
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 414 AM CDT Sun Sep 21 2025
Currently a cluster of thundershowers is slowly tracking eastward across SW Kansas. This comes off of a low-level small shortwave trough helping to provide some lift to the area that has received ample WAA and moisture advection for weak convection. A lack of shear and deep CAPE (
NWS DDC Office Area Forecast Discussion