Rosita, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

413
FXUS64 KCRP 301723
AFDCRP
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1223 PM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1147 AM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
- Low to medium chances of afternoon showers and thunderstorms
  return on Friday, with the best chances near the coast.
- Temperatures remain warm, with highs in the 90s and overnight
  lows in the 60s and 70s.
- Increasing risk for rip currents and minor coastal flooding
  heading into the weekend.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1147 AM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
Through midweek, a mid- to upper-level trough will propagate
eastward, leaving behind a slow-moving weakness aloft. This
evolving pattern will help maintain a mid-level low over the Gulf
Coast, enhancing large-scale ascent and allowing rain chances to
return to South Texas late this week. On Friday, shower and
thunderstorm coverage will increase to become low to moderate
(30-50%), with the Coastal Bend and Coastal Plains seeing low
(20-30%) chances, especially during the afternoon sea breeze.
Farther inland, PoPs will remain generally below 20%. With PWATs
forecast to be near normal for this time of year, rainfall rates
should remain on the modest side.
Temperatures will be seasonably warm through the forecast period.
The Brush Country will see highs in the mid to upper 90s, with
low to mid 90s prevailing elsewhere across the region. Overnight
lows will range from the upper 60s inland to the lower 70s along
the coast through the weekend, with a gradual warming trend into
the low 70s inland as dewpoints increase late in the period.
Marine conditions will become more unsettled by Friday as east-
northeasterly winds strengthen and longer-period swells develop.
This will elevate the risk of rip currents and may lead to coastal
flooding concerns during periods of high tide, particularly with
the full moon occurring late this weekend into early next week.
These hazards will continue to be monitored closely.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1147 AM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
VFR conditions will prevail throughout the TAF period along with
light and variable winds of around 6 knots.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1147 AM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
Over the next couple days, winds will be predominately light to
gentle (BF 2-3) and directionally variable with 2-3 ft seas. By
Friday, these winds increase to more moderate to fresh (BF 4-5)
strength out of the east-northeast with seas increasing to 3-5
ft. This pattern continues through the weekend with winds
decreasing slightly on Monday to become gentle to moderate with
persistent seas near 3 ft. Daily low to moderate chances for rain
(30-50%) begin Friday and continue through the upcoming week.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    69  93  71  92 /   0   0   0   0
Victoria          66  95  68  95 /   0   0   0   0
Laredo            70  97  71  98 /   0   0   0   0
Alice             66  96  67  96 /   0   0   0   0
Rockport          72  91  74  92 /   0   0   0  10
Cotulla           67  97  69  97 /   0   0   0   0
Kingsville        66  94  69  94 /   0   0   0   0
Navy Corpus       75  88  76  88 /   0   0   0  10
&&
.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...KRS/98
AVIATION...KRS/98

NWS CRP Office Area Forecast Discussion