Seadrift, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

922
FXUS64 KCRP 131746
AFDCRP
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1246 PM CDT Sat Sep 13 2025
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1242 PM CDT Sat Sep 13 2025
- Increasing risk of coastal flooding during high tide at night
  through the middle of next week
- Daily low to medium (20-40%) shower and thunderstorm chances
  during the upcoming work week
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1242 PM CDT Sat Sep 13 2025
Currently, South Texas is sitting under an elongated mid-level ridge
axis with a greater than 1.5" PWAT moisture axis stretching over
Deep South Texas into the Rio Grande Plains. Maintained a low chance
for showers and thunderstorms over the Rio Grande Plains this
afternoon and evening with a continue lull of activity over the rest
of the region through Sunday.
Low to medium (20-40%) daily rain chances return this upcoming work
week due to moisture recovering to near normal interacting with
diurnally driven mechanisms (surface heating and seabreeze). We`re
continuing to monitor water levels with an increased risk for
minor coastal flooding due to approaching seasonal high tide and
persistent onshore flow. High tides are forecast to occur during
nighttime hours with P-ETSS ensemble guidance indicating potential
water levels at Aransas Pass peaking between 1.7-2.1 ft MSL.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1242 PM CDT Sat Sep 13 2025
VFR conditions will prevail through tonight with only a very low
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NWS CRP Office Area Forecast Discussion