570 FXUS64 KSHV 101721 AFDSHVArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 1221 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1200 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
- Increasingly hot and slightly more humid conditions will return to the region over the next several days.
- No appreciable rain chances are on the horizon as upper-level ridging will continue to dominate the region.
- Drought and fire weather concerns may begin to increase with the prolonged period of heat and dry conditions.
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 1200 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
This increasingly benign and stagnant weather pattern doesn`t appear to be departing us anytime soon. This is certainly more reminiscent of a mid-summer regime dominated by an upper-level ridge will only expand deeper into our region as we move through the end of this week and into the upcoming weekend. This upper ridge will serve to deflect any progressive disturbances or frontal boundaries attempting to shift south toward our region, keeping us rain-free with above average temperatures for the foreseeable future.
To go along with those above average temperatures in the mid and upper 90s by this weekend, we can also expect for humidity levels to rebound as well. So those pleasant overnight and early morning temperatures that we`ve been enjoying recently will also be going by the wayside as returning Gulf moisture continues to help slowly modify the air mass. With clear skies and near calm conditions overnight, we may see some patchy fog develop in some of the more outlying and protected areas across our region through daybreak Thursday morning.
So in summary, the heat will only continue to build over the long term period with negligible rain chances through the next 7 days. Although drought and fire weather conditions have been very minimal so far this summer, a prolonged period with daily highs in the mid to upper 90s and void of any rainfall may result in at least some elevated concerns along those lines. Otherwise, no major weather concerns exist through this forecast period.
/19/
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.AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1213 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
Mainly VFR conditions to prevail across area terminals through the forecast period ending 11/18Z. Light southerly winds at 5 knots or less this afternoon to become light and variable after 11/00Z. Otherwise, southerly winds up to 6 knots expected on Thursday. /05/
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.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Issued at 1200 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
Spotter activation is not expected through the end of this week.
/19/
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 71 96 73 98 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 68 95 70 97 / 0 10 0 0 DEQ 64 92 67 94 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 68 96 71 97 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 66 95 68 97 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 68 92 70 93 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 67 94 70 96 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 68 95 70 96 / 0 0 0 0
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.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. &&
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DISCUSSION...19 AVIATION...05
NWS SHV Office Area Forecast Discussion