026 FXUS62 KCAE 091506 AAA AFDCAEArea Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Columbia SC 1106 AM EDT Tue Sep 9 2025
.SYNOPSIS... High pressure will dominate the weather pattern through the week with dry conditions and a slow warming trend.
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.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Key Message(s):
- Continued dry weather with temps a bit below normal.
Mostly clear skies and high pressure in place will yield a nice mid September day across the forecast area. Gusty northeasterly winds through early afternoon should eventually diminish a bit late afternoon. A dry air mass remains in place with dewpoints mixing out in the lower 50s and possibly upper 40s with low humidity expected.
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.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... Key message(s):
- High pressure maintains a dry pattern with gradually warming temperatures.
Upper trough axis to our west at the start of the period moves east and then southeast on Friday. An upper low may develop over North Carolina Friday night as the trough sharpens. At the surface, the pattern changes little with strong high pressure to our north maintaining a dry air mass. A reinforcing shot of dry air drops PWATs into the 0.5 to 0.75 inch range Wednesday morning, gradually recovering through the remainder of the period. With this in mind, dewpoints were lowered on Wednesday and Wednesday night. Guidance continues to show a gradual warming trend despite the aforementioned upper pattern with near normal daytime temperatures Thursday and Friday, likely due to the abundant sunshine expected combined with the September sun angle.
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.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... Key message(s):
- Slightly cooler on Saturday followed by another warming trend.
- A dry forecast continues through the extended.
Upper trough and possible upper low will be positioned along the east coast on Saturday, replaced by ridging on Sunday and especially Monday. High pressure at the surface maintains dry conditions through the period with rain not expected. Temperatures on Saturday could be slightly cooler than Friday, followed by a warming trend early next week.
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.AVIATION /15Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... VFR conditions through tonight with a high pressure ridge nearby. We will see occasional high clouds, but nothing to impact the terminals. There will be periods of wind gusts again today, but they should mainly be 20 knots or less.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...Mainly VFR conditions expected.
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.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... SC...None. GA...None.
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NWS CAE Office Area Forecast Discussion