Sprouses Corner, Virginia Weather Forecast Discussion

263
FXUS61 KRNK 301753
AFDRNK
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
153 PM EDT Tue Sep 30 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure pushing out of Canada today looks to become
anchored into the Northeast. This will lead to multiple days of
dry and sunny weather for the region as Wedging develops over
the Mid-Atlantic states. Early morning river valley fog followed
by mostly clear to partly cloudy skies will be common each day
through the end of the weekend.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 130 PM EDT Tuesday...
Key Messages:
1) Early morning fog west of the Blue Ridge will give way to
   clear skies for the entire region by mid morning Wednesday.
Surface high pressure will continue it`s progress towards
settling into the Northeast and becoming anchored over New
England on Wednesday. As it does this, lower PWAT air generally
under 1.0 inches will continue to advect into the region front
the Northeast as a typically Wedge like pattern develops over
the Mid-Atlantic states. This pattern will lead to early morning
fog and low stratus, especially across areas west of the Blue
Ridge; however, skies should clear areawide by the mid morning
hours on Wednesday. Clear skies will allow for temperatures to
climb into the low to mid 70s areawide, with mountain areas
possibly seeing some upper 60s hang around.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
As of 130 PM EDT Tuesday...
Key Messages:
1) Dry weather will persist through the rest of the workweek.
2) Temperatures should dip a little by Thursday due to a cool
northeast flow as high pressure wedges against the Blue Ridge.
A crisp, early autumn air mass will descend upon the region as a
significant high-pressure system dominates the weather.
The center of this high pressure will be situated over Southeast
Canada on Wednesday night. Due to the clockwise circulation around
the high, a persistent, cool northeasterly flow will be directed
across Southwest Virginia, Northwest North Carolina, and Southeast
West Virginia. This cool, dry Canadian air will suppress cloud
development and bring clear skies to the area.
On Thursday, the high-pressure center will track closer, moving
directly over New England. This will maintain the flow from the
northeast, continuing the trend of refreshing, low-humidity air.
Expect bright, sunny days with high temperatures likely topping out
between the mid-60s to lower 70s across the entire area.
The pleasant pattern will hold through Friday as the high-pressure
system slides south over the area. The air flow will still be
pulling from the northeast, ensuring another day of cool, dry, and
sunny conditions before the flow begins to shift and warmer air
potentially returns over the weekend.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 140 PM EDT Tuesday...
Key Messages:
1) Conditions stay dry during the upcoming weekend, but some
moisture might return by Monday in the mountains.
2) Temperatures should moderate over the weekend.
The upcoming weekend will continue to offer dry weather, dominated
by a large surface high-pressure system.
This high pressure will remain anchored over the region through the
weekend, ensuring clear skies and preventing any significant chances
for rain. Under this fair-weather influence, temperatures will begin
a steady warming trend, with highs climbing back into the 70s across
the area.
As we look to the start of the next week, the high pressure will
finally begin to shift, moving off the Virginia coast on Monday.
This transition will open the door for more moisture and a potential
change in the weather pattern. Consequently, the next chance for
rain will likely hold off until Monday or Tuesday.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 130 PM EDT Tuesday...
VFR conditions have returned to all terminals this afternoon,
with some MVFR conditions still lingering across portions of the
Blue Ridge and areas west. This restrictions should only linger
for another few hours before additional lifting of CIGs is
expected. Overnight, MVFR to IFR CIGs and VSBYs look to return
at BLF, LWB, and possibly BCB through the early morning hours;
however, these restrictions should lift during the 12-14 UTC
timeframe. All other terminals look to remain VFR through the
taf period, with drying out of showers expected later this
afternoon and evening. Winds will continue to remain out of the
northeast, with winds of 5-10 and gusts of 15-18 knots forecast
on Wednesday afternoon. This will be especially true for LYH and
DAN. The overall wind direction does not look to vary
significantly from the northeast during the taf period.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
Dry high pressure will build in tomorrow, providing for an
extended period of VFR into the weekend, outside of morning
patchy fog.
&&
.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...EB
NEAR TERM...EB
SHORT TERM...RCS
LONG TERM...RCS
AVIATION...BMG/EB

NWS RNK Office Area Forecast Discussion