Sycamore, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

267
FXUS64 KLCH 071113
AFDLCH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
613 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- High pressure will facilitate relatively mild and dry weather
  across the area through the midweek ahead while evening lows are
  projected to be noticeably cool tonight and Monday night.
- A slow rebound into the upper 80`s and 90`s is forecast for the
  rest of the work week with overall conditions trending toward
  the dry side through the end of forecast period.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday night)
Issued at 1234 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
Wx map currently illustrates the cold front has now progressed
offshore with observation sites reflecting a northerly regime.
However, dry surface conditions are lagging a day behind as water
vapor imagery shows deep layer subsidence and dry continental air to
our north. Today`s forecast is shaping up to be milder with highs
trending in the mid to upper 80`s while dewpoints are subject to be
noticeably lower in the 60`s. That being said, short term model
guidance still yields a slim chance of isolated pop up showers just
offshore where the marine influence may help to initiate a few
showers during the late afternoon toward the coast.
With the frontal boundary stalling offshore, high pressure over the
central Plains will surge relatively mild weather toward SETX and
SWLA through Monday night. Light to moderate NE breezes and mostly
sunny skies are in the forecast to start the work week ahead.
Although CAA is not expected to be significant Monday, low
temperatures areawide will sink into the low 60`s areawide, with the
potential of seeing upper 50`s across CenLA providing skies remain
clear. Wafts of Gumbo stewing may be smelt during an evening stroll.
For locations, along / south of the I-10 corridor, these will be
coolest low temperatures observed since June 1st and a better
welcome to meteorological Fall, which began on Sept 1st. Similarly,
Tuesday will also remain dry with highs again in the mid to upper
80`s. Winds will begin to trend lighter Tuesday afternoon while
gaining more easterly components. As high pressure to the north
begins to broaden, our marine boundary layer will begin to build
inland overnight Tuesday. This will help keep lows around the mid to
upper 60`s, trending closer to 70F south of I-10.
Kowalski / 30
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 1234 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
Looking ahead Wednesday a slow rebound to the low 90`s will take
place with high pressure migrating over the Appalachians and slack
ridging extending southwest to the TX / LA Gulf Coast. Both blended
and deterministic model guidance continue to suggest negligible
chances for precipitation through Friday while daytime highs attempt
to inch further into the low to mid 90`s. At the time of this
forecast package, the NHC has no tropical disturbances being
monitored for development across the tropics as we move toward
the climatological peak of the Atlantic hurricane season.
Kowalski / 30
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 608 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
MVFR/IFR ceilings have formed across central Louisiana and down
into Acadiana. With sunrise conditions should improve with VFR
conditions expected for the rest of the TAF period. Dry air moving
into the region will limit any convection and PROB30 is not needed
for this forecast package.
Winds will be from the north-northeast around 10 knots.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1234 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
Isolated showers and thunderstorms will continue through tonight
offshore ahead of/near the front, with rain chances decreasing
through tomorrow. A modest offshore flow will develop this
morning and remain in place through Wednesday behind the front.
Offshore winds along with seas will be increasing late this
afternoon into Monday as high pressure builds down from the
Midwest and briefly tightens the pressure gradient overhead. By
the mid week winds / gusts will ease and gain more easterly
components.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1234 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
Moisture will continue to decrease today behind a cold front
stalling offshore. Afternoon minimum relative humidity will
generally range 45-55 percent today and further decreasing toward
30-45% on Monday. Dry weather will remain into the midweek, with
little to no rainfall expected through the end of the forecast
period at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  85  59  84  57 /   0   0   0   0
LCH  88  66  85  62 /  10   0   0   0
LFT  88  64  86  62 /  10   0   0   0
BPT  88  67  87  63 /  10  10   0   0
&&
.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....30
AVIATION...14

NWS LCH Office Area Forecast Discussion