520 FXUS66 KPDT 302058 AFDPDTArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pendleton OR 158 PM PDT Tue Sep 30 2025
.DISCUSSION...An unsettled weather pattern will continue to push into the area, with a low pressure embedded with a cold front moves further onshore. Mid-level overcast clouds started to enter in the Central Oregon region and will continue to move into the CWA with showers and isolated thunderstorms (mainly in the mountain regions). Coverage for showers will be widespread going into the later afternoon/early evening hours. Chances for some wetting rains is highest in the Eastern Mountains/Southern Blues (40-60% chance) and the Cascade Crest/Slopes (60-80% chance). Places in the Basin will see up to a tenth of an inch over the next couple of days, but a few spots could see totals exceeding wetting rain rates in places where the heaviest rain falls. Regardless of amounts, a cooling trend is expected to persist with most of the highs dropping to the high 60s to low 70s by the end of the week. Some of the higher elevated populated areas is expected to only peak in the mid-60s.
The trough and cold front will continue for the next few days until eventually crossing over most of the area by Thursday afternoon/early evening. We`ll see rain chances Wednesday but not as widespread/as likely as today and Thursday will see chances of rain secluded to mostly mountainous regions. Weather starts to dry out as the trough continues to push east with ridging start to take place. There`s a bit of disagreement between the Euro and GFS in how they want to handle the passing trough. Euro has the trough exiting with a weaker shortwave and higher influence of the ridge, while the GFS is pointing towards the opposite solution with a stronger trough and weaker ridge. Guidance currently shows the wetter solutions confining precipitation to the mountain regions, but will continue to keep monitoring for any changes.
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.AVIATION...18Z TAFs...Another round of rain will start tonight, with showers and an occasional thunderstorm. Widespread rain will be in the Central OR/Cascade Crest areas, with more scattered and isolated in the Basin area. Could reach some 5000 feet overcast decks, with possible sub-VFR decks rolling in areas of the heavier showers (5-15% chance). Wind will be gustier near Central OR in RDM/BDN with up to 15-25 knots of gusts when the system starts pushing through. The highest gusts is forecasted in the later afternoon/early evening hours today.
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... PDT 51 72 48 67 / 30 40 50 20 ALW 55 72 51 67 / 30 40 50 20 PSC 51 72 48 70 / 20 20 30 10 YKM 46 67 42 67 / 50 40 20 10 HRI 51 72 48 70 / 30 20 40 10 ELN 42 65 38 65 / 50 40 20 20 RDM 42 67 38 65 / 60 30 30 20 LGD 45 70 46 65 / 40 40 50 30 GCD 45 69 44 65 / 40 20 30 20 DLS 52 70 50 70 / 80 60 30 20
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.PDT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OR...None. WA...None. &&
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DISCUSSION...95 AVIATION...95
NWS PDT Office Area Forecast Discussion