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Tecate, California Weather Forecast Discussion

912
FXUS66 KSGX 191019
AFDSGX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Diego CA 319 AM PDT Fri Sep 19 2025

.SYNOPSIS... Southwest flow aloft will bring drying of tropical moisture through Saturday with warming of high temperatures to within a few degrees of average and a noticeable decrease in humidity for inland areas on Saturday. For Sunday through Wednesday, low pressure to the northwest and high pressure to the southeast may direct tropical moisture into the vicinity of southwestern California at times with chances of measurable rainfall for Sunday and Monday of 30 to 40 percent from showers and for Tuesday and Wednesday of 10 to 30 percent from showers along with a slight chance of afternoon thunderstorms.

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.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE... SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES...

.SHORT TERM (Today through Sunday)... Southwest flow aloft will bring drying of tropical moisture for today and Saturdayday. There remains a 20 percent chance of measurable rainfall for this afternoon for the mountains of San Bernardino and Riverside Counties northward into the high desert from isolated showers or thunderstorms with peak hourly rainfall of one-quarter inch or less. High temperatures for inland areas will warm, but still be a few degrees below average on Saturday. It should be noticeably less humid for inland areas on Saturday.

By late Saturday night and Sunday, low pressure to the northwest and high pressure to the southeast could begin to direct mid and high level tropical moisture into southwestern California with increasing clouds and a slight chance of showers. High temperatures on Sunday will be around 5 degrees cooler than Saturday with high temperatures ranging from the lower to mid 70s near the coast to the lower to mid 80s for the Inland Empire with the lower 90s for the lower deserts.

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.LONG TERM (Monday through Thursday)... Low pressure to the northwest and high pressure to the southeast will continue to direct tropical moisture into the vicinity of southwest California at times with more clouds, with chances for showers at times along with a slight chance of afternoon thunderstorms. There is increasing spread in the details by Tuesday and Wednesday.

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.AVIATION... 190900Z...Coast/Valleys...FEW low clouds around 1200-1800ft MSL will increase in coverage overnight; BKN cigs possible up to 20 miles inland generally after 11z and clearing by 16-17z. Areas of low clouds return to coastal areas after 02Z Saturday, primarily in San Diego County, though eventually into Orange County. Slightly lower bases and less inland extent than tonight. Minor vis reductions possible along higher coastal terrain.

Mountains/Deserts...SCT-BKN mid level clouds based 5000-10000 ft MSL lingering through early this morning may reduce vis along higher terrain. Generally VFR conditions expected after 12Z.

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.MARINE...No hazardous marine conditions are expected through Tuesday morning.

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.SKYWARN... Skywarn activation is not requested. However weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions.

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.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CA...None. PZ...None.

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PUBLIC...17 AVIATION/MARINE...Westerink

NWS SGX Office Area Forecast Discussion

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